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Mitchell ShirePopulation forecast

Kilmore - Kilmore East

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Kilmore - Kilmore East indicate a 4.9% increase in population under working age, a 1.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Mitchell Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Kilmore - Kilmore East - Total persons[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222041Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)6066.06626.31,6537.3+1,048
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)9129.09378.92,51411.1+1,602
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)8488.48918.51,9598.6+1,112
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)8678.68778.31,8728.2+1,005
Young workforce (25 to 34)1,19111.81,29312.33,82116.8+2,630
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)1,82318.01,89018.04,37119.2+2,548
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,31913.01,34112.72,0298.9+710
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)1,02610.11,10810.51,9658.6+940
Seniors (70 to 84)1,26512.51,28912.22,27810.0+1,013
Elderly aged (85 and over)2732.72382.32731.20
Total persons10,129100.010,528100.022,736100.0+12,607
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in Kilmore - Kilmore East was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 18.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which is expected to increase by 102 and account for 12.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 1,890 persons.

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