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Mitchell ShirePopulation forecast

Mitchell Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Mitchell Shire indicate a 61.0% increase in population under working age, a 69.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 43.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Mitchell Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mitchell Shire - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43,0577.35,1398.211,1148.6+8,057
5 to 93,0047.24,8967.810,8198.4+7,815
10 to 142,7756.74,1896.79,0977.1+6,323
15 to 192,9417.13,7806.07,7336.0+4,791
20 to 242,6296.33,6115.77,1885.6+4,560
25 to 292,7036.54,3276.98,7176.8+6,014
30 to 342,8306.84,6587.49,9707.7+7,140
35 to 392,4806.04,2706.89,3637.3+6,882
40 to 442,7916.74,0546.48,5656.7+5,774
45 to 492,9087.03,7506.08,0386.2+5,130
50 to 542,8706.93,7335.97,3225.7+4,452
55 to 592,6346.33,5405.66,4235.0+3,789
60 to 642,3355.63,2805.25,5274.3+3,192
65 to 692,0635.02,9444.75,1664.0+3,102
70 to 741,4603.52,4914.04,6313.6+3,171
75 to 799402.31,9963.23,8763.0+2,937
80 to 846421.51,2672.02,7582.1+2,116
85 and over5701.49401.52,4221.9+1,851
Total persons41,633100.062,865100.0128,727100.0+87,095
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, August 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Mitchell Shire was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 2,082 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 5,139 persons.

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