Mitchell ShirePopulation forecast
census-message-logo

This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

Skip to content

Mitchell Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Mitchell Shire indicate a 61.0% increase in population under working age, a 69.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 43.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Mitchell Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Mitchell Shire - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 3,0577.35,1398.211,1148.6+8,057
5 to 9 3,0047.24,8967.810,8198.4+7,815
10 to 14 2,7756.74,1896.79,0977.1+6,323
15 to 19 2,9417.13,7806.07,7336.0+4,791
20 to 24 2,6296.33,6115.77,1885.6+4,560
25 to 29 2,7036.54,3276.98,7176.8+6,014
30 to 34 2,8306.84,6587.49,9707.7+7,140
35 to 39 2,4806.04,2706.89,3637.3+6,882
40 to 44 2,7916.74,0546.48,5656.7+5,774
45 to 49 2,9087.03,7506.08,0386.2+5,130
50 to 54 2,8706.93,7335.97,3225.7+4,452
55 to 59 2,6346.33,5405.66,4235.0+3,789
60 to 64 2,3355.63,2805.25,5274.3+3,192
65 to 69 2,0635.02,9444.75,1664.0+3,102
70 to 74 1,4603.52,4914.04,6313.6+3,171
75 to 79 9402.31,9963.23,8763.0+2,937
80 to 84 6421.51,2672.02,7582.1+2,116
85 and over5701.49401.52,4221.9+1,851
Total persons41,633100.062,865100.0128,727100.0+87,095

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, July 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 2,422 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 2,758 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 3,876 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 4,631 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 5,166 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 5,527 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 6,423 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 7,322 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 8,038 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 8,565 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 9,363 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 9,970 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 8,717 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 7,188 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 7,733 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 9,097 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 10,819 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 11,114 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 940 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 1,267 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 1,996 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 2,491 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 2,944 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 3,280 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 3,540 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 3,733 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 3,750 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 4,054 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 4,270 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 4,658 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 4,327 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 3,611 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 3,780 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 4,189 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 4,896 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 5,139 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 570 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 642 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 940 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 1,460 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 2,063 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 2,335 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 2,634 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,870 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 2,908 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,791 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 2,480 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 2,830 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 2,703 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 2,629 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 2,941 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 2,775 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 3,004 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 3,057
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 1,481 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 1,491 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 1,880 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 2,140 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 2,222 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 2,247 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 2,883 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 3,589 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 4,288 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 4,512 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 5,092 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 5,312 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 4,390 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 3,577 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 3,953 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 4,908 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 5,922 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 5,975 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 370 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 625 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,056 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,031 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 881 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 945 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 906 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 863 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 841 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,263 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,790 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 1,828 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 1,624 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 982 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 839 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,415 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 1,892 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 2,082
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, July 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Mitchell Shire was ages 0 to 4 , which accounted for 7.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4 , which is expected to increase by 2,082 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 0 to 4 years, with a total of 5,139 persons.

v18.09.24-1.0.0