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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Melton

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Melton indicate a 68.7% increase in males under working age, a 7.4% increase in males of retirement age, and a 35.1% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton - Total males202120362051Change between 2021 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42556.35149.36198.4+364
5 to 92947.35149.37119.6+416
10 to 142556.33286.06028.1+347
15 to 192265.62314.24586.2+233
20 to 242275.63336.14185.6+190
25 to 292917.24989.15377.2+246
30 to 342857.155310.16538.8+368
35 to 392656.64107.56078.2+341
40 to 442325.82975.44936.7+261
45 to 492666.62925.34365.9+170
50 to 542265.62394.33324.5+105
55 to 592225.52354.32954.0+73
60 to 642285.72474.52903.9+61
65 to 692305.72073.82483.4+18
70 to 742406.01713.12092.8-31
75 to 791604.01452.61822.5+23
80 to 84792.01312.41472.0+68
85 and over441.11552.81672.3+123
Total persons4,026100.05,498100.07,403100.0+3,377
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Melton was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 7.3% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 268 and account for 10.1% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2036 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 553 males.

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