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The number of dwellings in Gisborne District is forecast to grow from 4,853 in 2016 to 6,750 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.85 to 2.76 by 2031.
This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Gisborne District. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.
It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.
|Forecast population, households and dwellings|
|Gisborne District||Forecast year|
|Change in population (5yrs)||--||1,371||1,581||1,553||2,604|
|Average annual change||--||1.98%||2.06%||1.84%||2.76%|
|Average household size||2.85||2.79||2.77||2.76||2.76|
|Population in non private dwellings||169||190||230||230||230|
|Dwelling occupancy rate||95.12||95.14||94.92||94.67||94.44|
In 2016, the total population of Gisborne District was estimated to be 13,345 people. It is expected to increase by over 4,505 people to 17,850 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.95%. This is based on an increase of over 1,774 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.85 to 2.76 by 2026.
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