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Macedon Ranges ShirePopulation forecast

Riddells Creek District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Riddells Creek District indicate a 14.9% increase in population under working age, a 37.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 21.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Riddells Creek District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Riddells Creek District - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42525.63055.64135.6+161
5 to 93247.23726.85287.1+204
10 to 143547.93927.25427.3+188
15 to 193076.83776.95076.8+200
20 to 242595.83316.04275.8+168
25 to 292044.62644.83554.8+150
30 to 341994.42664.93664.9+167
35 to 392465.53396.24696.3+223
40 to 443307.44117.55827.8+252
45 to 493928.73987.35837.9+191
50 to 543738.33997.35457.3+172
55 to 593347.44237.75207.0+187
60 to 642986.63586.54446.0+146
65 to 692686.02674.93594.8+91
70 to 741603.62204.02833.8+123
75 to 791032.31793.32032.7+100
80 to 84410.9991.81542.1+113
85 and over410.9781.41381.9+97
Total persons4,486100.05,479100.07,417100.0+2,931
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Riddells Creek District was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 93 and account for 6.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 55 to 59 years, with a total of 423 persons.

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