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Macedon Ranges ShirePopulation forecast

Kyneton District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Kyneton District indicate a 13.0% increase in population under working age, a 29.4% increase in population of retirement age, and a 7.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Kyneton District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Kyneton District - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45716.36015.86375.6+65
5 to 95335.96186.06685.8+135
10 to 145185.76145.96615.8+143
15 to 195135.65525.36265.5+112
20 to 244114.54114.04734.1+62
25 to 293864.24003.94133.6+28
30 to 344324.74864.75004.4+68
35 to 395155.75735.56035.3+88
40 to 446717.46506.36966.1+26
45 to 496747.46736.57436.5+70
50 to 546397.07126.97356.4+96
55 to 596296.97176.97506.6+121
60 to 646176.87477.28277.2+210
65 to 696306.97267.08287.2+198
70 to 745125.66266.17596.6+247
75 to 793283.65064.96115.3+283
80 to 842452.73523.44433.9+198
85 and over2813.13723.64564.0+174
Total persons9,105100.010,337100.011,431100.0+2,326
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Kyneton District was ages 45 to 49, which accounted for 7.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 178 and account for 4.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 60 to 64 years, with a total of 747 persons.

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