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City of KingstonPopulation forecast

City of Kingston

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Kingston indicate a 6.0% increase in population under working age, a 22.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 8.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Kingston is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Kingston - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49,9686.310,2105.811,2815.7+1,313
5 to 99,8126.210,0765.711,0355.6+1,223
10 to 148,6755.59,8835.610,5555.3+1,880
15 to 198,5935.49,9635.710,6485.4+2,055
20 to 249,7296.110,3735.911,5695.8+1,840
25 to 2910,5886.711,2146.412,4926.3+1,904
30 to 3411,2197.112,1546.913,4076.8+2,188
35 to 3911,4667.212,4527.113,7266.9+2,260
40 to 4411,9717.512,4397.113,7216.9+1,750
45 to 4911,8347.412,0926.913,3926.8+1,558
50 to 5410,4226.611,6576.612,6586.4+2,236
55 to 599,6146.010,8626.211,8026.0+2,188
60 to 648,5745.49,6465.510,9625.5+2,388
65 to 697,7914.98,8165.010,2375.2+2,446
70 to 746,0753.87,5444.39,2954.7+3,220
75 to 794,8143.06,3903.68,0584.1+3,244
80 to 843,6732.34,6552.76,5913.3+2,918
85 and over4,1232.65,0352.96,9113.5+2,788
Total persons158,941100.0175,461100.0198,340100.0+39,399
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), September 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Kingston was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 1,576 and account for 3.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 12,452 persons.

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