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City of KingstonPopulation forecast


Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cheltenham indicate a 4.1% increase in population under working age, a 20.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 12.2% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cheltenham is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cheltenham - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,2626.41,3586.11,4245.9+162
5 to 91,2076.11,2135.51,2645.2+57
10 to 141,0475.31,0894.91,1514.8+104
15 to 191,0255.21,1215.11,1514.8+126
20 to 241,1275.71,2145.51,2755.3+148
25 to 291,2746.51,3626.11,4536.0+179
30 to 341,4917.61,5437.01,6356.8+144
35 to 391,4677.41,6867.61,7797.4+312
40 to 441,4977.61,7007.71,7737.3+276
45 to 491,4257.21,5587.01,6806.9+255
50 to 541,2136.11,4396.51,5746.5+361
55 to 591,0605.41,2945.81,3915.7+331
60 to 649394.81,1305.11,2895.3+350
65 to 699044.61,0284.61,1985.0+294
70 to 747773.99214.21,0764.4+299
75 to 796253.28643.99944.1+369
80 to 845993.07083.28583.5+259
85 and over7934.09244.21,2355.1+442
Total persons19,732100.022,153100.024,200100.0+4,468
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Cheltenham was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 239 and account for 3.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 1,700 persons.

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