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Hornsby Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Hornsby Shire Council

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Hornsby Shire Council is forecast to grow from 51,752 in 2016 to 66,631 in 2036, with the average household size falling from 2.91 to 2.75 by 2036.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Hornsby Shire Council. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Hornsby Shire CouncilForecast year
Change in population (5yrs)--9,8778,6197,5645,860
Average annual change--1.30%1.07%0.89%0.67%
Average household size2.912.862.822.792.75
Population in non private dwellings2,4512,7503,1453,1453,145
Dwelling occupancy rate96.3696.1896.2796.2996.28
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Hornsby Shire Council was estimated to be 147,661 people. It is expected to increase by over 26,060 people to 173,721 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 1.64%. This is based on an increase of over 11,381 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.91 to 2.79 by 2026.

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