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Golden Plains ShirePopulation forecast

Bannockburn North

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Bannockburn North indicate a 17.6% increase in males under working age, a 8.9% increase in males of retirement age, and a 20.9% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Bannockburn North - Total males202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42668.63158.64998.4+234
5 to 92889.33299.05258.9+238
10 to 142638.53178.64988.4+234
15 to 192277.32496.84046.8+177
20 to 241585.12005.43055.1+147
25 to 291795.82216.03455.8+166
30 to 342397.72847.74477.5+208
35 to 392277.32817.74487.6+221
40 to 442076.72587.04207.1+213
45 to 492317.42286.23876.5+156
50 to 541765.72286.23365.7+160
55 to 591424.61784.92864.8+145
60 to 641023.31554.22584.3+155
65 to 691394.51253.42604.4+121
70 to 74852.71303.52093.5+125
75 to 79953.1782.11612.7+66
80 to 84421.4671.8921.6+50
85 and over321.0280.8540.9+22
Total persons3,097100.03,674100.05,935100.0+2,838
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Bannockburn North was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 9.3% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 54 and account for 8.6% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 329 males.

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