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Cumberland CouncilPopulation forecast

Cumberland Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Cumberland Council indicate a 32.2% increase in males under working age, a 33.5% increase in males of retirement age, and a 18.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Cumberland Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cumberland Council - Total males201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 49,1847.911,9268.312,5758.1+3,391
5 to 98,0266.910,3267.210,8476.9+2,820
10 to 146,4465.59,0106.39,8816.3+3,435
15 to 196,8275.89,3886.510,3366.6+3,509
20 to 2410,3428.910,9327.612,0417.7+1,699
25 to 2912,58610.812,9849.113,8238.9+1,237
30 to 3411,63110.013,1559.213,4068.6+1,774
35 to 399,4858.111,5778.111,7197.5+2,233
40 to 447,3926.39,7646.810,1906.5+2,798
45 to 496,4065.58,6276.09,4426.0+3,036
50 to 546,3015.47,4825.28,7535.6+2,452
55 to 595,8125.06,6054.67,8605.0+2,048
60 to 644,7344.15,9604.26,6784.3+1,944
65 to 694,0453.55,0033.55,5013.5+1,456
70 to 742,9782.53,8392.74,6623.0+1,684
75 to 792,1101.83,0672.13,7422.4+1,632
80 to 841,3811.22,1091.52,6511.7+1,270
85 and over1,1661.01,5761.12,0501.3+884
Total persons116,854100.0143,329100.0156,155100.0+39,301
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in the Cumberland Council was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.8% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 2,742 and account for 8.3% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 13,155 males.

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