Cumberland CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Cumberland Council area

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Cumberland Council area indicate a 30.8% increase in population under working age, a 33.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Cumberland Council area is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cumberland Council area - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 17,9537.923,0548.224,3038.0+6,350
5 to 9 15,6916.919,9687.120,9746.9+5,283
10 to 14 12,5085.517,3426.218,9676.2+6,458
15 to 19 13,1145.817,8166.419,5526.4+6,438
20 to 24 18,7498.320,8967.522,9767.5+4,227
25 to 29 23,28110.325,0659.026,6218.7+3,340
30 to 34 21,8849.724,9058.925,5368.4+3,652
35 to 39 17,4707.721,9557.922,4267.4+4,956
40 to 44 13,9266.218,9506.819,7926.5+5,866
45 to 49 12,8385.716,7626.018,4946.1+5,656
50 to 54 12,5495.614,6815.317,3575.7+4,808
55 to 59 11,6585.213,2384.715,4595.1+3,801
60 to 64 9,5814.211,7924.213,0834.3+3,502
65 to 69 8,0733.610,0823.611,0573.6+2,984
70 to 74 5,8572.67,9262.89,4063.1+3,549
75 to 79 4,4812.06,2772.27,6992.5+3,217
80 to 84 3,1291.44,3761.65,6631.9+2,534
85 and over3,3091.54,5501.65,4461.8+2,137
Total persons226,052100.0279,636100.0304,811100.0+78,760

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 5,446 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 5,663 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 7,699 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 9,406 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 11,057 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 13,083 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 15,459 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 17,357 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 18,494 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 19,792 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 22,426 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 25,536 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 26,621 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 22,976 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 19,552 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 18,967 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 20,974 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 24,303 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 4,550 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 4,376 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 6,277 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 7,926 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 10,082 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 11,792 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 13,238 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 14,681 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 16,762 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 18,950 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 21,955 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 24,905 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 25,065 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 20,896 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 17,816 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 17,342 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 19,968 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 23,054 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 3,309 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 3,129 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 4,481 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 5,857 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 8,073 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 9,581 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 11,658 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 12,549 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 12,838 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 13,926 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 17,470 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 21,884 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 23,281 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 18,749 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 13,114 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 12,508 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 15,691 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 17,953
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 896 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1,288 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 1,422 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 1,480 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 975 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 1,291 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 2,220 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 2,676 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 1,733 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 842 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 472 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 631 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 1,556 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 2,080 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 1,735 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 1,625 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 1,006 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1,249 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 1,241 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 1,247 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 1,796 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 2,069 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 2,010 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 2,211 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,581 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 2,133 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 3,923 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 5,024 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 4,484 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 3,021 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 1,784 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 2,147 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 4,702 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 4,834 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 4,277 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 5,101
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the Cumberland Council area was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 10.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4 , which is expected to increase by 5,101 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 25,065 persons.

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