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Cumberland CouncilPopulation forecast

Cumberland Council

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the Cumberland Council indicate a 30.8% increase in population under working age, a 33.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Cumberland Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cumberland Council - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 417,9537.923,0548.224,3038.0+6,350
5 to 915,6916.919,9687.120,9746.9+5,283
10 to 1412,5085.517,3426.218,9676.2+6,458
15 to 1913,1145.817,8166.419,5526.4+6,438
20 to 2418,7498.320,8967.522,9767.5+4,227
25 to 2923,28110.325,0659.026,6218.7+3,340
30 to 3421,8849.724,9058.925,5368.4+3,652
35 to 3917,4707.721,9557.922,4267.4+4,956
40 to 4413,9266.218,9506.819,7926.5+5,866
45 to 4912,8385.716,7626.018,4946.1+5,656
50 to 5412,5495.614,6815.317,3575.7+4,808
55 to 5911,6585.213,2384.715,4595.1+3,801
60 to 649,5814.211,7924.213,0834.3+3,502
65 to 698,0733.610,0823.611,0573.6+2,984
70 to 745,8572.67,9262.89,4063.1+3,549
75 to 794,4812.06,2772.27,6992.5+3,217
80 to 843,1291.44,3761.65,6631.9+2,534
85 and over3,3091.54,5501.65,4461.8+2,137
Total persons226,052100.0279,636100.0304,811100.0+78,760
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the Cumberland Council was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 5,101 and account for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 25,065 persons.

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