Cumberland CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Cumberland Council area

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the Cumberland Council area is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 34,121 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Cumberland Council areaForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--23,62525,38426,24826,978
Deaths--6,2636,9377,3917,773
Natural increase/decrease--17,36118,44718,85719,205
Net migration--16,418922-5,255-7,817
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--3429513550

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 2,293 2035 forecast population change: 2,261 2034 forecast population change: 2,265 2033 forecast population change: 2,282 2032 forecast population change: 2,336 2031 forecast population change: 2,533 2030 forecast population change: 2,596 2029 forecast population change: 2,666 2028 forecast population change: 2,728 2027 forecast population change: 3,214 2026 forecast population change: 3,366 2025 forecast population change: 3,368 2024 forecast population change: 3,768 2023 forecast population change: 4,466 2022 forecast population change: 4,496 2021 forecast population change: 5,068 2020 forecast population change: 5,803 2019 forecast population change: 6,778 2018 forecast population change: 6,928 2017 forecast population change: 9,544
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 3,873 2035 Natural increase: 3,855 2034 Natural increase: 3,839 2033 Natural increase: 3,825 2032 Natural increase: 3,813 2031 Natural increase: 3,797 2030 Natural increase: 3,783 2029 Natural increase: 3,770 2028 Natural increase: 3,761 2027 Natural increase: 3,746 2026 Natural increase: 3,728 2025 Natural increase: 3,716 2024 Natural increase: 3,697 2023 Natural increase: 3,666 2022 Natural increase: 3,640 2021 Natural increase: 3,609 2020 Natural increase: 3,560 2019 Natural increase: 3,492 2018 Natural increase: 3,425 2017 Natural increase: 3,276 2036 Total deaths: 1,583 2035 Total deaths: 1,568 2034 Total deaths: 1,555 2033 Total deaths: 1,541 2032 Total deaths: 1,527 2031 Total deaths: 1,511 2030 Total deaths: 1,495 2029 Total deaths: 1,478 2028 Total deaths: 1,461 2027 Total deaths: 1,445 2026 Total deaths: 1,427 2025 Total deaths: 1,408 2024 Total deaths: 1,389 2023 Total deaths: 1,367 2022 Total deaths: 1,346 2021 Total deaths: 1,322 2020 Total deaths: 1,294 2019 Total deaths: 1,254 2018 Total deaths: 1,217 2017 Total deaths: 1,176 2036 Total births: 5,456 2035 Total births: 5,424 2034 Total births: 5,393 2033 Total births: 5,365 2032 Total births: 5,340 2031 Total births: 5,309 2030 Total births: 5,278 2029 Total births: 5,249 2028 Total births: 5,222 2027 Total births: 5,191 2026 Total births: 5,154 2025 Total births: 5,123 2024 Total births: 5,087 2023 Total births: 5,033 2022 Total births: 4,986 2021 Total births: 4,931 2020 Total births: 4,854 2019 Total births: 4,746 2018 Total births: 4,641 2017 Total births: 4,453 2036 Natural increase: 3,873 2035 Natural increase: 3,855 2034 Natural increase: 3,839 2033 Natural increase: 3,825 2032 Natural increase: 3,813 2031 Natural increase: 3,797 2030 Natural increase: 3,783 2029 Natural increase: 3,770 2028 Natural increase: 3,761 2027 Natural increase: 3,746 2026 Natural increase: 3,728 2025 Natural increase: 3,716 2024 Natural increase: 3,697 2023 Natural increase: 3,666 2022 Natural increase: 3,640 2021 Natural increase: 3,609 2020 Natural increase: 3,560 2019 Natural increase: 3,492 2018 Natural increase: 3,425 2017 Natural increase: 3,276 2036 Total deaths: 1,583 2035 Total deaths: 1,568 2034 Total deaths: 1,555 2033 Total deaths: 1,541 2032 Total deaths: 1,527 2031 Total deaths: 1,511 2030 Total deaths: 1,495 2029 Total deaths: 1,478 2028 Total deaths: 1,461 2027 Total deaths: 1,445 2026 Total deaths: 1,427 2025 Total deaths: 1,408 2024 Total deaths: 1,389 2023 Total deaths: 1,367 2022 Total deaths: 1,346 2021 Total deaths: 1,322 2020 Total deaths: 1,294 2019 Total deaths: 1,254 2018 Total deaths: 1,217 2017 Total deaths: 1,176 2036 Total births: 5,456 2035 Total births: 5,424 2034 Total births: 5,393 2033 Total births: 5,365 2032 Total births: 5,340 2031 Total births: 5,309 2030 Total births: 5,278 2029 Total births: 5,249 2028 Total births: 5,222 2027 Total births: 5,191 2026 Total births: 5,154 2025 Total births: 5,123 2024 Total births: 5,087 2023 Total births: 5,033 2022 Total births: 4,986 2021 Total births: 4,931 2020 Total births: 4,854 2019 Total births: 4,746 2018 Total births: 4,641 2017 Total births: 4,453
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: -1,580 2035 Total net migration: -1,594 2034 Total net migration: -1,574 2033 Total net migration: -1,542 2032 Total net migration: -1,527 2031 Total net migration: -1,264 2030 Total net migration: -1,186 2029 Total net migration: -1,104 2028 Total net migration: -1,033 2027 Total net migration: -667 2026 Total net migration: -361 2025 Total net migration: -348 2024 Total net migration: 70 2023 Total net migration: 799 2022 Total net migration: 761 2021 Total net migration: 1,459 2020 Total net migration: 2,215 2019 Total net migration: 3,201 2018 Total net migration: 3,363 2017 Total net migration: 6,179 2036 Total out migration: 27,601 2035 Total out migration: 27,423 2034 Total out migration: 27,247 2033 Total out migration: 27,077 2032 Total out migration: 26,912 2031 Total out migration: 26,719 2030 Total out migration: 26,524 2029 Total out migration: 26,321 2028 Total out migration: 26,119 2027 Total out migration: 25,885 2026 Total out migration: 25,628 2025 Total out migration: 25,384 2024 Total out migration: 25,100 2023 Total out migration: 24,749 2022 Total out migration: 24,412 2021 Total out migration: 24,013 2020 Total out migration: 23,525 2019 Total out migration: 22,922 2018 Total out migration: 22,297 2017 Total out migration: 21,282 2036 Total in migration: 26,021 2035 Total in migration: 25,829 2034 Total in migration: 25,674 2033 Total in migration: 25,535 2032 Total in migration: 25,385 2031 Total in migration: 25,455 2030 Total in migration: 25,338 2029 Total in migration: 25,217 2028 Total in migration: 25,086 2027 Total in migration: 25,218 2026 Total in migration: 25,267 2025 Total in migration: 25,036 2024 Total in migration: 25,171 2023 Total in migration: 25,548 2022 Total in migration: 25,173 2021 Total in migration: 25,473 2020 Total in migration: 25,740 2019 Total in migration: 26,123 2018 Total in migration: 25,661 2017 Total in migration: 27,461 2036 Total net migration: -1,580 2035 Total net migration: -1,594 2034 Total net migration: -1,574 2033 Total net migration: -1,542 2032 Total net migration: -1,527 2031 Total net migration: -1,264 2030 Total net migration: -1,186 2029 Total net migration: -1,104 2028 Total net migration: -1,033 2027 Total net migration: -667 2026 Total net migration: -361 2025 Total net migration: -348 2024 Total net migration: 70 2023 Total net migration: 799 2022 Total net migration: 761 2021 Total net migration: 1,459 2020 Total net migration: 2,215 2019 Total net migration: 3,201 2018 Total net migration: 3,363 2017 Total net migration: 6,179 2036 Total out migration: 27,601 2035 Total out migration: 27,423 2034 Total out migration: 27,247 2033 Total out migration: 27,077 2032 Total out migration: 26,912 2031 Total out migration: 26,719 2030 Total out migration: 26,524 2029 Total out migration: 26,321 2028 Total out migration: 26,119 2027 Total out migration: 25,885 2026 Total out migration: 25,628 2025 Total out migration: 25,384 2024 Total out migration: 25,100 2023 Total out migration: 24,749 2022 Total out migration: 24,412 2021 Total out migration: 24,013 2020 Total out migration: 23,525 2019 Total out migration: 22,922 2018 Total out migration: 22,297 2017 Total out migration: 21,282 2036 Total in migration: 26,021 2035 Total in migration: 25,829 2034 Total in migration: 25,674 2033 Total in migration: 25,535 2032 Total in migration: 25,385 2031 Total in migration: 25,455 2030 Total in migration: 25,338 2029 Total in migration: 25,217 2028 Total in migration: 25,086 2027 Total in migration: 25,218 2026 Total in migration: 25,267 2025 Total in migration: 25,036 2024 Total in migration: 25,171 2023 Total in migration: 25,548 2022 Total in migration: 25,173 2021 Total in migration: 25,473 2020 Total in migration: 25,740 2019 Total in migration: 26,123 2018 Total in migration: 25,661 2017 Total in migration: 27,461
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
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