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City of CaseyPopulation forecast

Minta Farm PSP

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Minta Farm PSP indicate a 151.6% increase in males under working age, a ∞% increase in males of retirement age, and a 229.9% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Casey is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Minta Farm PSP - Total males[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222046Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42810.4819.62566.3+228
5 to 93412.78510.02927.2+258
10 to 142910.8637.43248.0+295
15 to 19134.9435.13478.5+334
20 to 24134.9627.32826.9+269
25 to 293111.69210.81954.8+164
30 to 34197.110312.12105.2+191
35 to 394717.512014.22746.7+227
40 to 443211.9849.93067.5+274
45 to 4983.0384.53037.4+295
50 to 5441.5222.63117.7+307
55 to 5931.1111.32977.3+294
60 to 6472.691.02305.6+223
65 to 6900.091.11513.7+151
70 to 7400.050.61042.5+104
75 to 7900.050.6711.7+71
80 to 8400.060.7551.4+55
85 and over00.0111.3611.5+61
Total persons268100.0848100.04,069100.0+3,801
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2023.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for males in Minta Farm PSP was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 17.5% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 84 and account for 12.1% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2022 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 120 males.

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