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City of CaseyPopulation forecast

Devon Meadows

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Devon Meadows indicate a 854.4% increase in population under working age, a 105.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 590.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Casey is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Devon Meadows - Total persons202120362037Change between 2021 and 2037
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)271.798210.31,14710.5+1,120
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1449.39079.51,0819.9+937
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)905.85025.25915.4+500
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1479.51,04010.91,10710.1+959
Young workforce (25 to 34)1167.52,48726.02,82125.8+2,705
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)30119.41,82519.12,16019.7+1,859
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)26317.08188.69298.5+666
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)20313.14775.05384.9+335
Seniors (70 to 84)24515.94314.54804.4+235
Elderly aged (85 and over)110.7850.9860.8+75
Total persons1,548100.09,555100.010,939100.0+9,391
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Devon Meadows was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 19.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which is expected to increase by 2,371 and account for 26.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2036 is Young workforce (25 to 34) years, with a total of 2,487 persons.

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