Powered by .id (informed decisions) for City of Casey
.id community is an evidence base for over 250 local government areas in Australia and New Zealand, helping you make informed decisions.
LEARN MORE ABOUT .idBetween 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Narre Warren South indicate a 2.0% decrease in males under working age, a 77.8% increase in males of retirement age, and a 3.9% decrease in males of working age.
Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.
The forecast age groups of the City of Casey is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.
| Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Narre Warren South - Total males | 2021 | 2036 | 2046 | Change between 2021 and 2046 | |||
| Age group (years) | Number | % | Number | % | Number | % | Number |
| 0 to 4 | 983 | 6.3 | 1,066 | 6.6 | 1,084 | 6.5 | +101 |
| 5 to 9 | 1,176 | 7.5 | 1,165 | 7.2 | 1,187 | 7.1 | +11 |
| 10 to 14 | 1,417 | 9.1 | 1,272 | 7.9 | 1,297 | 7.8 | -120 |
| 15 to 19 | 1,420 | 9.1 | 1,314 | 8.1 | 1,354 | 8.1 | -66 |
| 20 to 24 | 1,361 | 8.7 | 1,272 | 7.9 | 1,298 | 7.8 | -64 |
| 25 to 29 | 1,035 | 6.6 | 1,041 | 6.5 | 1,050 | 6.3 | +15 |
| 30 to 34 | 865 | 5.5 | 951 | 5.9 | 969 | 5.8 | +104 |
| 35 to 39 | 975 | 6.2 | 1,024 | 6.4 | 1,045 | 6.3 | +70 |
| 40 to 44 | 1,055 | 6.8 | 1,035 | 6.4 | 1,058 | 6.3 | +2 |
| 45 to 49 | 1,215 | 7.8 | 1,023 | 6.3 | 1,058 | 6.3 | -157 |
| 50 to 54 | 1,155 | 7.4 | 990 | 6.1 | 1,017 | 6.1 | -138 |
| 55 to 59 | 952 | 6.1 | 893 | 5.5 | 895 | 5.4 | -58 |
| 60 to 64 | 751 | 4.8 | 818 | 5.1 | 756 | 4.5 | +5 |
| 65 to 69 | 509 | 3.3 | 688 | 4.3 | 641 | 3.8 | +132 |
| 70 to 74 | 334 | 2.1 | 550 | 3.4 | 593 | 3.6 | +258 |
| 75 to 79 | 237 | 1.5 | 461 | 2.9 | 550 | 3.3 | +314 |
| 80 to 84 | 126 | 0.8 | 307 | 1.9 | 430 | 2.6 | +304 |
| 85 and over | 65 | 0.4 | 254 | 1.6 | 403 | 2.4 | +338 |
| Total persons | 15,632 | 100.0 | 16,125 | 100.0 | 16,683 | 100.0 | +1,052 |
Key findings
In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Narre Warren South was ages 15 to 19, which accounted for 9.1% of the total males.
The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 224 and account for 2.9% of the total males.
The largest male 5 year age group in 2036 is 15 to 19 years, with a total of 1,314 males.
DISCLAIMER: While all due care has been taken to ensure that the content of this website is accurate and current, there may be errors or omissions in it and no legal responsibility is accepted for the information and opinions in this website.
Please view our Privacy Policy, Terms of use and Legal notices.
ABS Data and the copyright in the ABS Data remains the property of the Australian Bureau of Statistics. The copyright in the way .id has modified, transformed or reconfigured the ABS Data as published on this website remains the property of .id. ABS Data can be accessed from the Australian Bureau of Statistics at www.abs.gov.au. ABS data can be used under license - terms published on ABS website. intermediary.management@abs.gov.au if you have any queries or wish to distribute any ABS data.