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City of CaseyPopulation forecast

Minta Farm PSP

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Minta Farm PSP indicate a 1120.9% increase in males under working age, a ∞% increase in males of retirement age, and a 1549.7% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Casey is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Minta Farm PSP - Total males202120362046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42810.42996.92566.3+228
5 to 93412.73858.92927.2+258
10 to 142910.84279.93248.0+295
15 to 19134.93698.53478.5+334
20 to 24134.92596.02826.9+269
25 to 293111.61984.61954.8+164
30 to 34197.12375.52105.2+191
35 to 394717.53297.62746.7+227
40 to 443211.94059.43067.5+274
45 to 4983.04119.53037.4+295
50 to 5441.53427.93117.7+307
55 to 5931.12305.32977.3+294
60 to 6472.61403.22305.6+223
65 to 6900.0771.81513.7+151
70 to 7400.0561.31042.5+104
75 to 7900.0561.3711.7+71
80 to 8400.0471.1551.4+55
85 and over00.0601.4611.5+61
Total persons268100.04,326100.04,069100.0+3,801
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), October 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Minta Farm PSP was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 17.5% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 45 to 49, which is expected to increase by 403 and account for 9.5% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2036 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 427 males.

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