Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast
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Former City of Botany Bay

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Former City of Botany Bay will increase by an average of 538 dwellings per annum to 28,213 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in the Bayside Council. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

List of forecast land assumptions by small area 2016-2036:

  • Mascot Station Precinct - 4,294 additional dwellings
  • Botany - Banksmeadow - 2,242 additional dwellings
  • Hillsdale - Eastgardens - 2,456 additional dwellings
  • Mascot Station Precinct and Environs - 1,041 additional dwellings
  • Eastlakes - 494 additional dwellings
  • Mascot - Outside Precincts - 119 additional dwellings
  • Pagewood - 75 additional dwellings
  • Rosebery - 36 additional dwellings
  • Daceyville - 4 additional dwellings
Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 28,213 2035 Total dwellings: 28,083 2034 Total dwellings: 27,893 2033 Total dwellings: 27,703 2032 Total dwellings: 27,513 2031 Total dwellings: 27,323 2030 Total dwellings: 27,132 2029 Total dwellings: 26,912 2028 Total dwellings: 26,622 2027 Total dwellings: 26,309 2026 Total dwellings: 25,971 2025 Total dwellings: 25,542 2024 Total dwellings: 25,017 2023 Total dwellings: 24,396 2022 Total dwellings: 23,704 2021 Total dwellings: 22,856 2020 Total dwellings: 21,832 2019 Total dwellings: 20,762 2018 Total dwellings: 19,659 2017 Total dwellings: 18,564 2036 Total dwellings: 28,213 2035 Total dwellings: 28,083 2034 Total dwellings: 27,893 2033 Total dwellings: 27,703 2032 Total dwellings: 27,513 2031 Total dwellings: 27,323 2030 Total dwellings: 27,132 2029 Total dwellings: 26,912 2028 Total dwellings: 26,622 2027 Total dwellings: 26,309 2026 Total dwellings: 25,971 2025 Total dwellings: 25,542 2024 Total dwellings: 25,017 2023 Total dwellings: 24,396 2022 Total dwellings: 23,704 2021 Total dwellings: 22,856 2020 Total dwellings: 21,832 2019 Total dwellings: 20,762 2018 Total dwellings: 19,659 2017 Total dwellings: 18,564 2036 Forecast development: 130 2035 Forecast development: 190 2034 Forecast development: 190 2033 Forecast development: 190 2032 Forecast development: 190 2031 Forecast development: 191 2030 Forecast development: 220 2029 Forecast development: 290 2028 Forecast development: 313 2027 Forecast development: 338 2026 Forecast development: 429 2025 Forecast development: 525 2024 Forecast development: 621 2023 Forecast development: 692 2022 Forecast development: 848 2021 Forecast development: 1,024 2020 Forecast development: 1,070 2019 Forecast development: 1,103 2018 Forecast development: 1,095 2017 Forecast development: 1,112
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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