Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Former City of Botany Bay

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Former City of Botany Bay is 25-29 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Bayside Council depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected across the 2016-2026 period
  • Large net in-migration of 18-24 year olds, dominated by young couples and singles attracted to accommodation close to the CBD, the airport and the University of NSW
  • In the medium to long term, moderate loss of young couples and families with young children
  • Minimal population gain or loss through migration at age 45 years and over.

Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -6 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -117 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -62 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -53 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -61 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 68 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -30 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -22 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -192 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 96 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,912 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,036 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 989 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 51 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -127 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -443 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 44 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -72 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 8 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 70 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 41 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 73 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 157 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 188 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 116 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 423 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 847 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,657 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,934 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,594 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,245 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 270 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 179 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 296 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -6 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -117 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -62 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -53 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -61 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 68 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -30 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -22 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -38 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -192 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 96 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 1,912 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 2,036 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 989 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 51 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -127 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -443 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 44 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -72 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 8 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 70 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 41 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 73 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 157 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 188 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 116 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 423 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 847 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 1,657 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 2,934 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 2,594 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 1,245 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 270 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 179 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 296
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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