Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Turrella - Bardwell Valley

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Turrella - Bardwell Valley indicate a 16.8% increase in population under working age, a 28.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 10.9% decrease in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Bayside Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Turrella - Bardwell Valley - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 43677.03897.53506.8-17
5 to 93146.03997.73506.8+35
10 to 142955.73526.83556.9+60
15 to 193005.83226.23516.8+50
20 to 245079.73005.83196.2-188
25 to 2953910.42845.52875.6-252
30 to 344488.63426.62955.8-153
35 to 393657.03827.43176.2-48
40 to 443146.03687.13336.5+19
45 to 492835.43386.53396.6+56
50 to 542995.72845.53106.0+11
55 to 592394.62625.12925.7+53
60 to 642584.92825.42725.3+14
65 to 692344.52304.42414.7+7
70 to 741673.22254.42394.7+72
75 to 791122.21853.61843.6+72
80 to 84851.61192.31543.0+69
85 and over791.51122.21432.8+64
Total persons5,207100.05,175100.05,130100.0-76

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 143 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 154 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 184 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 239 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 241 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 272 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 292 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 310 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 339 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 333 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 317 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 295 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 287 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 319 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 351 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 355 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 350 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 350 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 112 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 119 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 185 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 225 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 230 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 282 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 262 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 284 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 338 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 368 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 382 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 342 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 284 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 300 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 322 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 352 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 399 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 389 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 79 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 85 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 112 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 167 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 234 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 258 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 239 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 299 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 283 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 314 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 365 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 448 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 539 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 507 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 300 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 295 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 314 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 367
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 35 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: -1 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 11 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -10 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 30 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: -35 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -66 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: -47 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 19 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: -49 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: -39 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 33 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 34 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 58 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -4 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -15 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 54 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 17 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: -106 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -256 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -207 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 57 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 23
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Turrella - Bardwell Valley was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 84 and account for 7.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 399 persons.

v20.1.13-1.0.0