Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast
Skip to content

Pagewood

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Pagewood indicate a 11.8% decrease in population under working age, a 2.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 2.5% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the Bayside Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Pagewood - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41553.92396.02405.9+85
5 to 93097.82396.02486.1-61
10 to 143338.42255.72606.4-73
15 to 192827.12927.32696.6-13
20 to 242606.52827.12436.0-17
25 to 292095.22045.22125.2+3
30 to 341543.91764.41854.5+31
35 to 391934.82065.22105.2+17
40 to 443097.82416.12536.2-56
45 to 493117.82726.92837.0-28
50 to 543087.73057.72726.7-36
55 to 592426.12787.02606.4+18
60 to 641884.72616.62636.5+75
65 to 691884.72145.42426.0+54
70 to 741884.71744.42275.6+39
75 to 791553.91533.91794.4+24
80 to 84952.41263.21283.1+33
85 and over1072.7812.0882.2-19
Total persons3,986100.03,967100.04,064100.0+78

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 88 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 128 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 179 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 227 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 242 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 263 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 260 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 272 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 283 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 253 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 210 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 185 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 212 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 243 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 269 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 260 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 248 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 240 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 81 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 153 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 174 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 214 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 261 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 278 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 305 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 272 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 241 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 206 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 176 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 204 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 282 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 225 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 239 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 239 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 107 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 95 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 155 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 188 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 188 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 188 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 242 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 308 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 311 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 309 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 193 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 154 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 209 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 260 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 282 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 333 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 309 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 155
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 53 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 2 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: -17 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: -33 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: -38 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: -22 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 35 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -26 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 31 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: -2 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: -14 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 26 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 73 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 36 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -3 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: -39 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: -68 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 22 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 10 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: -108 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: -70 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 84
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Pagewood was ages 10 to 14, which accounted for 8.4% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 0 to 4, which is expected to increase by 84 and account for 6.0% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 50 to 54 years, with a total of 305 persons.

v19.11.15-1.0.0