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Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast

Cowes - Ventnor & District

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Cowes - Ventnor & District indicate a 19.7% increase in population under working age, a 26.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 11.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cowes - Ventnor & District is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cowes - Ventnor & District - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42463.83684.94745.1+227
5 to 93585.63704.94655.0+108
10 to 142944.63374.44464.8+152
15 to 192994.73214.23734.0+73
20 to 241923.02653.53163.4+124
25 to 292654.12963.93603.9+94
30 to 342854.43074.13954.3+110
35 to 392794.33744.94665.1+187
40 to 443104.83905.14815.2+171
45 to 493655.73684.94775.2+112
50 to 544076.34015.35085.5+101
55 to 594717.35026.65856.3+114
60 to 645568.66058.06997.6+143
65 to 6964210.06578.77768.4+134
70 to 745168.06148.17217.8+205
75 to 793365.25757.66457.0+309
80 to 842684.24235.65215.7+253
85 and over3425.34025.35135.6+171
Total persons6,431100.07,575100.09,219100.0+2,789
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Cowes - Ventnor & District was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 10.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 239 and account for 7.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 657 persons.

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