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Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast

Bass Coast Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Bass Coast Shire is 60-64 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Bass Coast Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Stable migration profile expected across the 2011-2026 period
  • Shows evidence of a dual housing market, consisting of retirees/mature couples (55-69 years) and families with children aged 0-9 years
  • Minor loss of elderly persons (70 years and over)
  • Like most of regional Australia, Bass Coast Shire loses young adults (18-24 years) to Melbourne and other parts of Australia for employment, education and lifestyle purposes.

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