Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bass Coast Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Bass Coast Shire is 60-64 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Bass Coast Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Stable migration profile expected across the 2011-2026 period
  • Shows evidence of a dual housing market, consisting of retirees/mature couples (55-69 years) and families with children aged 0-9 years
  • Minor loss of elderly persons (70 years and over)
  • Like most of regional Australia, Bass Coast Shire loses young adults (18-24 years) to Melbourne and other parts of Australia for employment, education and lifestyle purposes.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -132 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -148 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -84 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 177 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 509 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 480 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 294 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 191 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 189 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 403 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 434 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 326 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 47 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -288 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -36 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 149 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 359 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -8 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -77 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -88 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -99 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 153 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 467 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 416 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 250 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 133 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 244 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 401 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 382 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 326 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 101 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -283 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -28 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 360 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: -12 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -132 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -148 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -84 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: 177 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 509 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 480 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 294 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 191 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 189 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 403 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 434 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 326 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 47 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -288 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -36 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 149 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 359 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: -8 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -77 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -88 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -99 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 153 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: 467 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 416 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 250 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 133 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 244 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 401 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 382 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 326 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 101 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -283 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -28 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 144 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 360
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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