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Bass Coast ShirePopulation forecast

Bass Coast Shire

Population, households and dwellings

The number of dwellings in Bass Coast Shire is forecast to grow from 26,000 in 2016 to 32,099 in 2031, with the average household size falling from 2.19 to 2.18 by 2031.

This summary shows the results of the forecasts for population, households and dwellings in Bass Coast Shire. The period 2016 to 2026, as the short to medium term, is likely to be the most accurate and useful forecast information for immediate planning purposes.

It is important to look at the relationship between population and average household size. If the average household size is falling, then there will need to be growth in the number of households (and dwellings for them to live in) to maintain or grow the population.

Forecast population, households and dwellings
Bass Coast ShireForecast year
Summary20162021202620312036
Population33,31136,08338,93942,54346,429
Change in population (5yrs)--2,7722,8563,6043,886
Average annual change--1.61%1.54%1.79%1.76%
Households14,88016,18017,55719,22420,976
Average household size2.192.192.182.182.18
Population in non private dwellings665665665695695
Dwellings26,00028,12830,18632,09934,038
Dwelling occupancy rate57.2357.5258.1659.8961.63
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the total population of Bass Coast Shire was estimated to be 33,311 people. It is expected to increase by over 9,232 people to 42,543 by 2026, at an average annual growth rate of 2.48%. This is based on an increase of over 4,344 households during the period, with the average number of persons per household falling from 2.19 to 2.18 by 2026.

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