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City of BallaratPopulation forecast

City of Ballarat

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for City of Ballarat indicate a 1.1% increase in males under working age, a 3.1% increase in males of retirement age, and a 2.1% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Ballarat is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
City of Ballarat - Total males[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222046Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)3,3786.23,3906.14,7165.9+1,338
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)5,3249.75,3859.66,5498.2+1,225
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)4,5428.34,6908.45,4906.9+948
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)4,9629.05,0759.16,5298.2+1,567
Young workforce (25 to 34)7,87714.47,98114.39,18811.5+1,311
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)10,01018.210,20418.214,96718.8+4,957
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)6,44211.76,55011.79,53012.0+3,088
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)5,81210.65,94810.68,20510.3+2,393
Seniors (70 to 84)5,52110.15,70610.210,66013.4+5,139
Elderly aged (85 and over)1,0081.81,0651.93,7574.7+2,749
Total persons54,875100.055,994100.079,591100.0+24,716
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), June 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for males in City of Ballarat was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 18.2% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which is expected to increase by 195 and account for 18.2% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2022 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 10,204 males.

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