Golden Plains Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Golden Plains Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Golden Plains Shire indicate a 15.0% increase in population under working age, a 45.6% increase in population of retirement age, and a 20.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Golden Plains Shire - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,5096.91,7936.72,1916.8+682
5 to 9 1,7908.22,0037.52,4467.5+656
10 to 14 1,7568.02,0197.52,4057.4+649
15 to 19 1,5076.91,7716.62,0426.3+535
20 to 24 1,0304.71,3415.01,5914.9+561
25 to 29 9714.41,3274.91,5954.9+624
30 to 34 1,2845.91,4965.61,8365.7+552
35 to 39 1,4346.51,7326.52,1366.6+702
40 to 44 1,6987.71,9387.22,3117.1+613
45 to 49 1,7217.81,9387.22,3147.1+593
50 to 54 1,5487.11,9487.32,2737.0+725
55 to 59 1,4956.81,8216.82,1126.5+617
60 to 64 1,3736.31,6046.01,9866.1+613
65 to 69 1,2005.51,4025.21,7105.3+510
70 to 74 7513.41,1234.21,3434.1+592
75 to 79 4201.98483.21,0433.2+623
80 to 84 2301.04631.77032.2+473
85 and over2121.02591.04111.3+199
Total persons21,929100.026,826100.032,449100.0+10,520

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 411 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 703 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,043 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,343 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,710 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,986 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,112 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,273 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 2,314 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,311 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,136 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,836 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,595 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,591 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,042 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,405 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,446 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,191 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 259 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 463 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 848 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,123 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,402 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,604 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,821 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,948 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,938 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,938 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,732 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,496 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,327 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,341 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,771 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 2,019 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,003 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,793 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 212 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 230 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 420 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 751 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,200 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,373 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,495 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 1,548 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 1,721 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 1,698 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 1,434 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 1,284 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 971 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,030 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,507 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,756 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,790 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 1,509
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 152 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 240 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 195 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 220 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 308 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 381 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 292 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 325 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 377 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 373 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 403 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 340 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 268 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 249 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 271 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 386 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 443 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 398 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 47 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 233 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 428 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 372 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 202 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 231 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 326 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 400 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 217 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 240 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 298 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 212 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 356 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 311 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 264 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 263 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 213 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 284
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Golden Plains Shire was ages 5 to 9 , which accounted for 8.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79 , which is expected to increase by 428 and account for 3.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 10 to 14 years, with a total of 2,019 persons.

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