Golden Plains Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Golden Plains Shire

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Golden Plains Shire indicate a 31.3% increase in population under working age, a 102.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 34.4% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Golden Plains Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Golden Plains Shire - Total persons201120262036Change between 2011 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 1,3116.91,8006.72,1836.7+872
5 to 9 1,5448.12,0107.52,4417.5+897
10 to 14 1,5498.21,9747.42,4057.4+856
15 to 19 1,3487.11,7636.62,0436.3+695
20 to 24 8264.41,3225.01,5704.8+744
25 to 29 8374.41,3044.91,5904.9+753
30 to 34 1,0135.31,5035.61,8275.6+814
35 to 39 1,3477.11,7316.52,1266.6+779
40 to 44 1,5808.31,9037.12,3107.1+730
45 to 49 1,5368.11,9337.22,3137.1+777
50 to 54 1,4537.71,9317.22,2537.0+800
55 to 59 1,3277.01,8186.82,1076.5+780
60 to 64 1,2806.81,6516.21,9746.1+694
65 to 69 8444.51,3975.21,7075.3+863
70 to 74 5072.71,1094.21,3764.2+869
75 to 79 3031.68443.21,0433.2+740
80 to 84 2021.14551.76992.2+497
85 and over1510.82520.94071.3+256
Total persons18,958100.026,699100.032,375100.0+13,417

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, February 2015.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 407 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 699 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,043 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,376 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,707 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 1,974 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,107 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 2,253 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 2,313 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 2,310 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 2,126 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,827 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,590 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,570 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,043 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 2,405 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,441 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,183 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 252 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 455 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 844 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,109 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,397 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,651 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 1,818 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 1,931 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 1,933 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 1,903 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 1,731 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,503 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,304 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,322 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 1,763 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,974 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 2,010 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 1,800 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 151 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 202 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 303 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 507 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 844 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 1,280 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 1,327 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 1,453 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 1,536 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 1,580 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 1,347 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 1,013 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 837 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 826 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 1,348 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 1,549 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 1,544 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 1,311
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2015.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 155 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 244 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 199 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 266 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 310 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 323 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 290 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 322 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 380 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 407 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 395 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 324 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 285 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 247 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 281 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 431 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 431 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 384 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 101 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 253 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 541 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 602 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 553 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 371 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 491 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 478 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 397 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 323 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 384 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 490 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 467 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 496 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 415 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 425 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 466 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 489
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, February 2015.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in Golden Plains Shire was ages 40 to 44 , which accounted for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74 , which is expected to increase by 602 and account for 4.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 2,010 persons.

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