Golden Plains Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Golden Plains Shire

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in Golden Plains Shire is 0-4 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2026 to 2031.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Golden Plains Shire depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Generally consistent migration profile across the 2011-2026 period
  • Attraction of young and mature families (0-9 and 25-44 years)
  • Loss of population in the young adult age groups (18-24 years) as young home leavers seek employment and education in major centres
  • Minor gain of empty nesters (45-55 years)
  • Small net loss in retirees (65-79 years)
  • Stable net migration balance of the fraile and elderly aged 80+ years
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 26 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -28 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -71 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -124 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -88 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 35 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 64 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 160 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 247 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 389 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 399 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 228 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -175 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -275 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 42 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 304 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 456 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -9 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -50 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -114 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -82 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 87 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 115 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 257 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 364 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 353 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 274 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -133 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -269 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 35 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 298 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 412 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 26 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -28 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -71 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -124 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -88 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: 1 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: 35 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: 64 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: 160 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: 247 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: 389 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 399 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 228 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: -175 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: -275 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: 42 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: 304 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: 456 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 25 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: -9 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: -50 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: -114 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: -82 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -4 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: 33 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: 87 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: 115 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: 257 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 364 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 353 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 274 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: -133 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: -269 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: 35 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: 298 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: 412
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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