Golden Plains Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Golden Plains Shire

Residential development

Residential development forecasts assume the number of dwellings in Golden Plains Shire will increase by an average of 212 dwellings per annum to 12,690 in 2036.

The addition of dwellings to the housing stock is a major driver of population growth in an area, providing opportunities for households to relocate from other areas or new households to form locally (such as young people leaving the family home or separations/divorces).

Residential development can take various forms depending on the availability of land. These include new housing estates on greenfield sites, subdivision in existing residential neighbourhoods (often called infill development), conversion of industrial lands to residential lands, and densification of housing by building up.

.id's forecasters worked with Council planners to understand the likely development activity in each small area. This forms the development assumptions for the forecasts. This table shows the quantity of new development assumed in each small area in Golden Plains Shire. Select each small area to see detailed assumptions.

Forecast residential development, 2016 to 2036
Golden Plains ShireChange in dwellings between 2016 and 2036
Areanumber%
Golden Plains Shire+4,237+50.1
Bannockburn+1,904+109.1
Central East+913+41.0
Central West+242+18.7
North West+833+31.0
South East+345+68.6

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast residential development
Forecast residential development 2036 Total dwellings: 12,690 2035 Total dwellings: 12,463 2034 Total dwellings: 12,236 2033 Total dwellings: 12,011 2032 Total dwellings: 11,786 2031 Total dwellings: 11,562 2030 Total dwellings: 11,338 2029 Total dwellings: 11,120 2028 Total dwellings: 10,907 2027 Total dwellings: 10,695 2026 Total dwellings: 10,484 2025 Total dwellings: 10,281 2024 Total dwellings: 10,075 2023 Total dwellings: 9,869 2022 Total dwellings: 9,663 2021 Total dwellings: 9,450 2020 Total dwellings: 9,248 2019 Total dwellings: 9,045 2018 Total dwellings: 8,843 2017 Total dwellings: 8,650 2036 Total dwellings: 12,690 2035 Total dwellings: 12,463 2034 Total dwellings: 12,236 2033 Total dwellings: 12,011 2032 Total dwellings: 11,786 2031 Total dwellings: 11,562 2030 Total dwellings: 11,338 2029 Total dwellings: 11,120 2028 Total dwellings: 10,907 2027 Total dwellings: 10,695 2026 Total dwellings: 10,484 2025 Total dwellings: 10,281 2024 Total dwellings: 10,075 2023 Total dwellings: 9,869 2022 Total dwellings: 9,663 2021 Total dwellings: 9,450 2020 Total dwellings: 9,248 2019 Total dwellings: 9,045 2018 Total dwellings: 8,843 2017 Total dwellings: 8,650 2036 Forecast development: 227 2035 Forecast development: 227 2034 Forecast development: 225 2033 Forecast development: 225 2032 Forecast development: 224 2031 Forecast development: 224 2030 Forecast development: 218 2029 Forecast development: 213 2028 Forecast development: 212 2027 Forecast development: 211 2026 Forecast development: 203 2025 Forecast development: 206 2024 Forecast development: 206 2023 Forecast development: 206 2022 Forecast development: 213 2021 Forecast development: 202 2020 Forecast development: 203 2019 Forecast development: 202 2018 Forecast development: 193 2017 Forecast development: 197
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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