Darebin City CouncilPopulation forecast
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City of Darebin

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the City of Darebin is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 16,265 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
City of DarebinForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 20362037 to 2041
Births10,72611,60512,68713,42514,06314,717
Deaths5,1435,8046,1266,5057,1117,795
Natural increase/decrease5,5835,8016,5616,9206,9526,922
Net migration5,46510,3258,4236,3815,3025,704
Change in persons in non-private dwellings154140296303120

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2041 forecast population change: 2,463 2040 forecast population change: 2,555 2039 forecast population change: 2,581 2038 forecast population change: 2,518 2037 forecast population change: 2,509 2036 forecast population change: 2,478 2035 forecast population change: 2,469 2034 forecast population change: 2,537 2033 forecast population change: 2,473 2032 forecast population change: 2,609 2031 forecast population change: 2,454 2030 forecast population change: 2,618 2029 forecast population change: 2,820 2028 forecast population change: 2,740 2027 forecast population change: 2,700 2026 forecast population change: 2,703 2025 forecast population change: 2,960 2024 forecast population change: 3,048 2023 forecast population change: 2,936 2022 forecast population change: 3,633 2021 forecast population change: 3,428 2020 forecast population change: 3,862 2019 forecast population change: 3,611 2018 forecast population change: 2,497 2017 forecast population change: 2,866 2016 forecast population change: 3,308 2015 forecast population change: 2,610 2014 forecast population change: 1,861 2013 forecast population change: 2,067 2012 forecast population change: 1,355
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2041 Natural increase: 1,397 2040 Natural increase: 1,389 2039 Natural increase: 1,382 2038 Natural increase: 1,377 2037 Natural increase: 1,377 2036 Natural increase: 1,382 2035 Natural increase: 1,386 2034 Natural increase: 1,391 2033 Natural increase: 1,396 2032 Natural increase: 1,397 2031 Natural increase: 1,395 2030 Natural increase: 1,392 2029 Natural increase: 1,386 2028 Natural increase: 1,378 2027 Natural increase: 1,369 2026 Natural increase: 1,354 2025 Natural increase: 1,336 2024 Natural increase: 1,317 2023 Natural increase: 1,295 2022 Natural increase: 1,259 2021 Natural increase: 1,227 2020 Natural increase: 1,184 2019 Natural increase: 1,145 2018 Natural increase: 1,131 2017 Natural increase: 1,114 2016 Natural increase: 1,090 2015 Natural increase: 1,079 2014 Natural increase: 1,187 2013 Natural increase: 1,158 2012 Natural increase: 1,068 2041 Total births: 3,002 2040 Total births: 2,972 2039 Total births: 2,942 2038 Total births: 2,914 2037 Total births: 2,887 2036 Total births: 2,861 2035 Total births: 2,836 2034 Total births: 2,812 2033 Total births: 2,789 2032 Total births: 2,765 2031 Total births: 2,741 2030 Total births: 2,714 2029 Total births: 2,684 2028 Total births: 2,656 2027 Total births: 2,630 2026 Total births: 2,602 2025 Total births: 2,573 2024 Total births: 2,543 2023 Total births: 2,509 2022 Total births: 2,461 2021 Total births: 2,416 2020 Total births: 2,360 2019 Total births: 2,306 2018 Total births: 2,279 2017 Total births: 2,244 2016 Total births: 2,194 2015 Total births: 2,157 2014 Total births: 2,154 2013 Total births: 2,122 2012 Total births: 2,100 2041 Total deaths: 1,605 2040 Total deaths: 1,583 2039 Total deaths: 1,561 2038 Total deaths: 1,537 2037 Total deaths: 1,510 2036 Total deaths: 1,480 2035 Total deaths: 1,449 2034 Total deaths: 1,421 2033 Total deaths: 1,393 2032 Total deaths: 1,368 2031 Total deaths: 1,346 2030 Total deaths: 1,322 2029 Total deaths: 1,297 2028 Total deaths: 1,278 2027 Total deaths: 1,261 2026 Total deaths: 1,248 2025 Total deaths: 1,237 2024 Total deaths: 1,226 2023 Total deaths: 1,214 2022 Total deaths: 1,202 2021 Total deaths: 1,189 2020 Total deaths: 1,176 2019 Total deaths: 1,161 2018 Total deaths: 1,148 2017 Total deaths: 1,130 2016 Total deaths: 1,103 2015 Total deaths: 1,077 2014 Total deaths: 967 2013 Total deaths: 964 2012 Total deaths: 1,032 2041 Natural increase: 1,397 2040 Natural increase: 1,389 2039 Natural increase: 1,382 2038 Natural increase: 1,377 2037 Natural increase: 1,377 2036 Natural increase: 1,382 2035 Natural increase: 1,386 2034 Natural increase: 1,391 2033 Natural increase: 1,396 2032 Natural increase: 1,397 2031 Natural increase: 1,395 2030 Natural increase: 1,392 2029 Natural increase: 1,386 2028 Natural increase: 1,378 2027 Natural increase: 1,369 2026 Natural increase: 1,354 2025 Natural increase: 1,336 2024 Natural increase: 1,317 2023 Natural increase: 1,295 2022 Natural increase: 1,259 2021 Natural increase: 1,227 2020 Natural increase: 1,184 2019 Natural increase: 1,145 2018 Natural increase: 1,131 2017 Natural increase: 1,114 2016 Natural increase: 1,090 2015 Natural increase: 1,079 2014 Natural increase: 1,187 2013 Natural increase: 1,158 2012 Natural increase: 1,068 2041 Total births: 3,002 2040 Total births: 2,972 2039 Total births: 2,942 2038 Total births: 2,914 2037 Total births: 2,887 2036 Total births: 2,861 2035 Total births: 2,836 2034 Total births: 2,812 2033 Total births: 2,789 2032 Total births: 2,765 2031 Total births: 2,741 2030 Total births: 2,714 2029 Total births: 2,684 2028 Total births: 2,656 2027 Total births: 2,630 2026 Total births: 2,602 2025 Total births: 2,573 2024 Total births: 2,543 2023 Total births: 2,509 2022 Total births: 2,461 2021 Total births: 2,416 2020 Total births: 2,360 2019 Total births: 2,306 2018 Total births: 2,279 2017 Total births: 2,244 2016 Total births: 2,194 2015 Total births: 2,157 2014 Total births: 2,154 2013 Total births: 2,122 2012 Total births: 2,100 2041 Total deaths: 1,605 2040 Total deaths: 1,583 2039 Total deaths: 1,561 2038 Total deaths: 1,537 2037 Total deaths: 1,510 2036 Total deaths: 1,480 2035 Total deaths: 1,449 2034 Total deaths: 1,421 2033 Total deaths: 1,393 2032 Total deaths: 1,368 2031 Total deaths: 1,346 2030 Total deaths: 1,322 2029 Total deaths: 1,297 2028 Total deaths: 1,278 2027 Total deaths: 1,261 2026 Total deaths: 1,248 2025 Total deaths: 1,237 2024 Total deaths: 1,226 2023 Total deaths: 1,214 2022 Total deaths: 1,202 2021 Total deaths: 1,189 2020 Total deaths: 1,176 2019 Total deaths: 1,161 2018 Total deaths: 1,148 2017 Total deaths: 1,130 2016 Total deaths: 1,103 2015 Total deaths: 1,077 2014 Total deaths: 967 2013 Total deaths: 964 2012 Total deaths: 1,032
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2041 Total net migration: 1,066 2040 Total net migration: 1,166 2039 Total net migration: 1,200 2038 Total net migration: 1,141 2037 Total net migration: 1,132 2036 Total net migration: 1,097 2035 Total net migration: 1,083 2034 Total net migration: 1,014 2033 Total net migration: 1,000 2032 Total net migration: 1,109 2031 Total net migration: 1,059 2030 Total net migration: 1,226 2029 Total net migration: 1,434 2028 Total net migration: 1,332 2027 Total net migration: 1,331 2026 Total net migration: 1,349 2025 Total net migration: 1,504 2024 Total net migration: 1,565 2023 Total net migration: 1,630 2022 Total net migration: 2,374 2021 Total net migration: 2,201 2020 Total net migration: 2,623 2019 Total net migration: 2,411 2018 Total net migration: 1,367 2017 Total net migration: 1,722 2016 Total net migration: 2,248 2015 Total net migration: 1,531 2014 Total net migration: 580 2013 Total net migration: 818 2012 Total net migration: 288 2041 Total out migration: 19,821 2040 Total out migration: 19,598 2039 Total out migration: 19,373 2038 Total out migration: 19,155 2037 Total out migration: 18,940 2036 Total out migration: 18,729 2035 Total out migration: 18,521 2034 Total out migration: 18,319 2033 Total out migration: 18,119 2032 Total out migration: 17,907 2031 Total out migration: 17,702 2030 Total out migration: 17,479 2029 Total out migration: 17,236 2028 Total out migration: 17,006 2027 Total out migration: 16,775 2026 Total out migration: 16,545 2025 Total out migration: 16,298 2024 Total out migration: 16,042 2023 Total out migration: 15,781 2022 Total out migration: 15,434 2021 Total out migration: 15,102 2020 Total out migration: 14,725 2019 Total out migration: 14,373 2018 Total out migration: 14,149 2017 Total out migration: 13,878 2016 Total out migration: 13,547 2015 Total out migration: 13,301 2014 Total out migration: 13,146 2013 Total out migration: 12,966 2012 Total out migration: 13,468 2041 Total in migration: 20,887 2040 Total in migration: 20,764 2039 Total in migration: 20,572 2038 Total in migration: 20,296 2037 Total in migration: 20,072 2036 Total in migration: 19,826 2035 Total in migration: 19,604 2034 Total in migration: 19,333 2033 Total in migration: 19,119 2032 Total in migration: 19,017 2031 Total in migration: 18,761 2030 Total in migration: 18,704 2029 Total in migration: 18,670 2028 Total in migration: 18,337 2027 Total in migration: 18,106 2026 Total in migration: 17,894 2025 Total in migration: 17,803 2024 Total in migration: 17,607 2023 Total in migration: 17,410 2022 Total in migration: 17,808 2021 Total in migration: 17,304 2020 Total in migration: 17,348 2019 Total in migration: 16,785 2018 Total in migration: 15,515 2017 Total in migration: 15,600 2016 Total in migration: 15,795 2015 Total in migration: 14,832 2014 Total in migration: 13,726 2013 Total in migration: 13,784 2012 Total in migration: 13,755 2041 Total net migration: 1,066 2040 Total net migration: 1,166 2039 Total net migration: 1,200 2038 Total net migration: 1,141 2037 Total net migration: 1,132 2036 Total net migration: 1,097 2035 Total net migration: 1,083 2034 Total net migration: 1,014 2033 Total net migration: 1,000 2032 Total net migration: 1,109 2031 Total net migration: 1,059 2030 Total net migration: 1,226 2029 Total net migration: 1,434 2028 Total net migration: 1,332 2027 Total net migration: 1,331 2026 Total net migration: 1,349 2025 Total net migration: 1,504 2024 Total net migration: 1,565 2023 Total net migration: 1,630 2022 Total net migration: 2,374 2021 Total net migration: 2,201 2020 Total net migration: 2,623 2019 Total net migration: 2,411 2018 Total net migration: 1,367 2017 Total net migration: 1,722 2016 Total net migration: 2,248 2015 Total net migration: 1,531 2014 Total net migration: 580 2013 Total net migration: 818 2012 Total net migration: 288 2041 Total out migration: 19,821 2040 Total out migration: 19,598 2039 Total out migration: 19,373 2038 Total out migration: 19,155 2037 Total out migration: 18,940 2036 Total out migration: 18,729 2035 Total out migration: 18,521 2034 Total out migration: 18,319 2033 Total out migration: 18,119 2032 Total out migration: 17,907 2031 Total out migration: 17,702 2030 Total out migration: 17,479 2029 Total out migration: 17,236 2028 Total out migration: 17,006 2027 Total out migration: 16,775 2026 Total out migration: 16,545 2025 Total out migration: 16,298 2024 Total out migration: 16,042 2023 Total out migration: 15,781 2022 Total out migration: 15,434 2021 Total out migration: 15,102 2020 Total out migration: 14,725 2019 Total out migration: 14,373 2018 Total out migration: 14,149 2017 Total out migration: 13,878 2016 Total out migration: 13,547 2015 Total out migration: 13,301 2014 Total out migration: 13,146 2013 Total out migration: 12,966 2012 Total out migration: 13,468 2041 Total in migration: 20,887 2040 Total in migration: 20,764 2039 Total in migration: 20,572 2038 Total in migration: 20,296 2037 Total in migration: 20,072 2036 Total in migration: 19,826 2035 Total in migration: 19,604 2034 Total in migration: 19,333 2033 Total in migration: 19,119 2032 Total in migration: 19,017 2031 Total in migration: 18,761 2030 Total in migration: 18,704 2029 Total in migration: 18,670 2028 Total in migration: 18,337 2027 Total in migration: 18,106 2026 Total in migration: 17,894 2025 Total in migration: 17,803 2024 Total in migration: 17,607 2023 Total in migration: 17,410 2022 Total in migration: 17,808 2021 Total in migration: 17,304 2020 Total in migration: 17,348 2019 Total in migration: 16,785 2018 Total in migration: 15,515 2017 Total in migration: 15,600 2016 Total in migration: 15,795 2015 Total in migration: 14,832 2014 Total in migration: 13,726 2013 Total in migration: 13,784 2012 Total in migration: 13,755
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
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