Darebin City CouncilPopulation forecast
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City of Darebin

Population and age structure

Between 2011 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Darebin indicate a 35.9% increase in population under working age, a 23.3% increase in population of retirement age, and a 29.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Darebin is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Darebin - Total persons201120262041Change between 2011 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9,0626.311,9886.513,8016.2+4,739
5 to 9 7,4935.210,2675.511,9525.3+4,459
10 to 14 6,1934.38,6594.710,2734.6+4,080
15 to 19 6,7334.79,5575.111,4735.1+4,740
20 to 24 11,8448.314,8148.017,5277.8+5,683
25 to 29 14,23110.017,8339.621,0839.4+6,852
30 to 34 13,1729.217,6449.520,7879.3+7,615
35 to 39 12,1838.516,1188.718,9308.4+6,747
40 to 44 11,3778.014,1907.616,7757.5+5,398
45 to 49 9,2876.511,8346.414,5346.5+5,247
50 to 54 8,2775.810,3635.612,9145.8+4,637
55 to 59 6,7024.79,2505.011,1945.0+4,492
60 to 64 5,7494.07,7324.29,5224.2+3,773
65 to 69 4,9443.56,7173.68,3603.7+3,416
70 to 74 4,7503.35,6263.07,5813.4+2,831
75 to 79 4,2993.04,8792.66,6403.0+2,341
80 to 84 3,5852.53,9782.15,5752.5+1,990
85 and over3,0612.14,2402.35,2932.4+2,232
Total persons142,942100.0185,689100.0224,213100.0+81,271

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 5,293 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 5,575 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 6,640 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 7,581 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 8,360 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 9,522 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 11,194 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 12,914 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 14,534 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 16,775 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 18,930 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 20,787 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 21,083 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 17,527 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 11,473 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 10,273 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 11,952 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 13,801 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 4,240 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,978 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,879 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,626 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 6,717 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 7,732 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 9,250 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 10,363 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 11,834 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 14,190 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 16,118 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 17,644 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 17,833 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 14,814 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 9,557 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 8,659 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 10,267 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 11,988 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011: 3,061 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011: 3,585 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011: 4,299 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011: 4,750 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011: 4,944 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011: 5,749 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011: 6,702 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011: 8,277 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011: 9,287 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011: 11,377 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011: 12,183 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011: 13,172 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011: 14,231 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011: 11,844 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011: 6,733 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011: 6,193 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011: 7,493 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011: 9,062
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 1,053 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 1,597 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 1,761 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 1,954 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 1,643 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 1,789 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 1,944 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 2,551 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 2,700 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 2,585 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 2,812 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 3,143 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 3,250 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 2,713 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 1,916 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 1,614 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 1,685 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 1,813 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2026: 1,179 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2026: 393 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2026: 580 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2026: 876 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2026: 1,773 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2026: 1,983 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2026: 2,548 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2026: 2,086 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2026: 2,547 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2026: 2,813 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2026: 3,935 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2026: 4,472 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2026: 3,602 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2026: 2,970 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2026: 2,824 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2026: 2,466 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2026: 2,774 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2026: 2,926
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.

Key findings

In 2011, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Darebin was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 10.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2011 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34 , which is expected to increase by 4,472 and account for 9.5% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 17,833 persons.

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