Darebin City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Darebin

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Darebin indicate a 26.9% increase in population under working age, a 19.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 22.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Darebin is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Darebin - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 9,5966.212,3836.514,2486.2+4,652
5 to 9 8,3455.410,4995.512,2725.3+3,927
10 to 14 6,9414.58,6914.610,5694.6+3,628
15 to 19 7,3874.89,7765.111,7155.1+4,328
20 to 24 12,5088.115,0317.917,7607.7+5,252
25 to 29 15,70210.118,2439.621,6039.4+5,900
30 to 34 15,1789.818,5389.821,7099.4+6,531
35 to 39 12,4258.016,8138.819,7018.6+7,276
40 to 44 11,4837.414,4997.617,2997.5+5,816
45 to 49 10,8117.011,7596.215,0016.5+4,191
50 to 54 8,9515.810,4515.513,3155.8+4,364
55 to 59 7,9055.19,6005.111,4725.0+3,567
60 to 64 6,2664.07,9164.29,6094.2+3,343
65 to 69 5,4593.56,9433.78,5013.7+3,042
70 to 74 4,4372.95,7083.07,7923.4+3,355
75 to 79 4,2672.84,9482.66,7242.9+2,457
80 to 84 3,5752.33,9172.15,6222.4+2,048
85 and over3,7842.44,2702.25,2072.3+1,423
Total persons155,016100.0189,985100.0230,118100.0+75,102

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 5,207 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 5,622 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 6,724 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 7,792 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 8,501 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 9,609 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 11,472 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 13,315 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 15,001 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 17,299 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 19,701 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 21,709 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 21,603 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 17,760 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 11,715 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 10,569 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 12,272 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 14,248 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 4,270 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 3,917 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 4,948 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 5,708 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 6,943 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 7,916 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 9,600 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 10,451 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 11,759 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 14,499 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 16,813 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 18,538 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 18,243 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 15,031 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 9,776 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 8,691 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 10,499 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 12,383 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 3,784 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 3,575 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 4,267 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 4,437 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 5,459 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 6,266 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 7,905 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 8,951 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 10,811 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 11,483 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 12,425 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 15,178 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 15,702 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 12,508 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 7,387 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 6,941 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 8,345 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 9,596
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 937 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 1,705 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 1,776 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 2,084 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 1,558 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 1,693 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 1,871 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 2,864 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 3,242 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 2,800 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 2,888 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 3,171 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 3,359 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 2,729 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 1,939 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 1,877 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 1,773 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 1,865 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 487 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 342 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 681 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 1,271 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 1,484 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 1,650 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 1,696 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 1,500 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 948 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 3,016 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 4,389 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 3,360 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 2,541 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 2,523 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 2,389 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 1,751 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 2,154 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 2,787
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Darebin was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 10.1% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 4,389 and account for 8.8% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 18,538 persons.

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