Darebin City CouncilPopulation forecast
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City of Darebin

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Darebin is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Darebin depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Gain of tertiary students and young adults (18-29 years) attracted to rental stock, new housing opportunities relatively close to the inner city and proximity to universities and jobs
  • Some loss of young and mature families (0-14 and 35-54 years)
  • Minimal change through migration of persons aged over 55 years
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 158 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 82 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 186 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 127 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -144 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -285 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -498 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -405 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -625 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -751 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -211 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 229 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 3,228 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 6,180 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,194 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -334 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -797 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -910 0 2016 to 2021: 53 0 2016 to 2021: 31 0 2016 to 2021: 161 0 2016 to 2021: 107 0 2016 to 2021: -39 0 2016 to 2021: -187 0 2016 to 2021: -379 0 2016 to 2021: -280 0 2016 to 2021: -563 0 2016 to 2021: -468 0 2016 to 2021: 41 0 2016 to 2021: 406 0 2016 to 2021: 3,655 0 2016 to 2021: 6,280 0 2016 to 2021: 3,190 0 2016 to 2021: -152 0 2016 to 2021: -719 0 2016 to 2021: -814 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 19 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -104 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -99 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -204 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -444 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -398 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -607 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -797 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: -188 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -7 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 2,568 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 5,288 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,678 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -283 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -834 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -1,112 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 158 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 82 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 186 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 127 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -144 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -285 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -498 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -405 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -625 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -751 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -211 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 229 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 3,228 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 6,180 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,194 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -334 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -797 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -910 0 2016 to 2021: 53 0 2016 to 2021: 31 0 2016 to 2021: 161 0 2016 to 2021: 107 0 2016 to 2021: -39 0 2016 to 2021: -187 0 2016 to 2021: -379 0 2016 to 2021: -280 0 2016 to 2021: -563 0 2016 to 2021: -468 0 2016 to 2021: 41 0 2016 to 2021: 406 0 2016 to 2021: 3,655 0 2016 to 2021: 6,280 0 2016 to 2021: 3,190 0 2016 to 2021: -152 0 2016 to 2021: -719 0 2016 to 2021: -814 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 19 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -104 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -6 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -99 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -204 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: -444 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: -398 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -607 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -797 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: -188 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: -7 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 2,568 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 5,288 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,678 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: -283 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -834 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -1,112
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2017.
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