Darebin City CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Darebin

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the City of Darebin is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across City of Darebin depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Major migration assumptions:

  • Gain of tertiary students and young adults (18-29 years) attracted to rental stock, new housing opportunities relatively close to the inner city and proximity to universities and jobs
  • Some loss of young and mature families (0-14 and 35-54 years)
  • Minimal change through migration of persons aged over 60 years.
Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 176 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 93 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 181 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 137 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -126 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -313 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -508 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -362 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -512 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -704 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -480 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 506 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 3,560 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 6,506 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,094 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -211 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -719 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -1,097 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 131 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 58 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 191 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 138 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -193 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -374 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -229 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -554 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -196 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 52 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 686 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 3,826 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 6,638 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 3,268 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -138 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -495 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -778 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 176 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: 93 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: 181 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: 137 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -126 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -313 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -508 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -362 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -512 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -704 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -480 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: 506 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 3,560 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 6,506 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,094 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -211 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -719 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -1,097 Persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2021: 131 Persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2021: 58 Persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2021: 191 Persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2021: 138 Persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2021: 2 Persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2021: -193 Persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2021: -374 Persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2021: -229 Persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2021: -554 Persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2021: -196 Persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2021: 52 Persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2021: 686 Persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2021: 3,826 Persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2021: 6,638 Persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2021: 3,268 Persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2021: -138 Persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2021: -495 Persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2021: -778
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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