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Bayside Council

Net migration by age

The age group with the highest net migration in the Bayside Council is 20-24 year olds, this is forecast to occur in the period between 2016 to 2021.

Migration is one of the most important components of population change. Once you have established the amount of development activity in an area, the next step is to make assumptions about who will move into the area as well as who is leaving the area.

Net migration by age is an excellent way of understanding housing markets. The most mobile age groups in the population are young adults. They tend to move to attend educational institutions, seek work and express a change in lifestyle. Market research has shown that empty nesters are more likely to move to smaller accommodation when appropriate and affordable alternative housing is supplied in the local area that is accessible to established social networks.

Select each small area to see how migration patterns differ for each area across Bayside Council depending on their housing markets and stage in the suburb life cycle.

Migration assumptions:

  • Relatively stable migration profile expected across the 2011-2026 period
  • Large net in-migration of 18-29 year olds, dominated by young couples and singles attracted to accommodation close to the CBD, the airport and the University of NSW
  • Moderate loss of young couples and families with children (0-9 years)
  • Minimal population gain or loss through migration at age 45 years and over.

Forecast net migration by age group
Forecast net migration by age group Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 71 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -144 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -108 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -72 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -315 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -315 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -27 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -54 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -328 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -853 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -1,939 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,658 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 4,121 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 7,218 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,129 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -143 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -1,241 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -2,595 0 2016 to 2021: 147 0 2016 to 2021: -107 0 2016 to 2021: 10 0 2016 to 2021: -30 0 2016 to 2021: -160 0 2016 to 2021: -103 0 2016 to 2021: 137 0 2016 to 2021: 264 0 2016 to 2021: -49 0 2016 to 2021: -28 0 2016 to 2021: -196 0 2016 to 2021: 866 0 2016 to 2021: 6,256 0 2016 to 2021: 8,365 0 2016 to 2021: 3,515 0 2016 to 2021: 268 0 2016 to 2021: -541 0 2016 to 2021: -1,451 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 0 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -123 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -64 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -55 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -235 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -107 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 51 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 70 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -10 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -203 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 239 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 856 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 5,020 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 6,557 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,553 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 118 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -458 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -1,368 Persons aged 85+,  2021 to 2026: 71 Persons aged 80-84,  2021 to 2026: -144 Persons aged 75-79,  2021 to 2026: -108 Persons aged 70-74,  2021 to 2026: -72 Persons aged 65-69,  2021 to 2026: -315 Persons aged 60-64,  2021 to 2026: -315 Persons aged 55-59,  2021 to 2026: -27 Persons aged 50-54,  2021 to 2026: -54 Persons aged 45-49,  2021 to 2026: -328 Persons aged 40-44,  2021 to 2026: -853 Persons aged 35-39,  2021 to 2026: -1,939 Persons aged 30-34,  2021 to 2026: -1,658 Persons aged 25-29,  2021 to 2026: 4,121 Persons aged 20-24,  2021 to 2026: 7,218 Persons aged 15-19,  2021 to 2026: 3,129 Persons aged 10-14,  2021 to 2026: -143 Persons aged 5-9,  2021 to 2026: -1,241 Persons aged 0-4,  2021 to 2026: -2,595 0 2016 to 2021: 147 0 2016 to 2021: -107 0 2016 to 2021: 10 0 2016 to 2021: -30 0 2016 to 2021: -160 0 2016 to 2021: -103 0 2016 to 2021: 137 0 2016 to 2021: 264 0 2016 to 2021: -49 0 2016 to 2021: -28 0 2016 to 2021: -196 0 2016 to 2021: 866 0 2016 to 2021: 6,256 0 2016 to 2021: 8,365 0 2016 to 2021: 3,515 0 2016 to 2021: 268 0 2016 to 2021: -541 0 2016 to 2021: -1,451 Persons aged 85+,  2011 to 2016: 0 Persons aged 80-84,  2011 to 2016: -123 Persons aged 75-79,  2011 to 2016: -64 Persons aged 70-74,  2011 to 2016: -55 Persons aged 65-69,  2011 to 2016: -235 Persons aged 60-64,  2011 to 2016: -107 Persons aged 55-59,  2011 to 2016: 51 Persons aged 50-54,  2011 to 2016: 70 Persons aged 45-49,  2011 to 2016: -10 Persons aged 40-44,  2011 to 2016: -203 Persons aged 35-39,  2011 to 2016: 239 Persons aged 30-34,  2011 to 2016: 856 Persons aged 25-29,  2011 to 2016: 5,020 Persons aged 20-24,  2011 to 2016: 6,557 Persons aged 15-19,  2011 to 2016: 2,553 Persons aged 10-14,  2011 to 2016: 118 Persons aged 5-9,  2011 to 2016: -458 Persons aged 0-4,  2011 to 2016: -1,368
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.
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