Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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Bayside Council

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the Bayside Council is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 26,652 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Bayside CouncilForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births--13,61215,24015,59015,536
Deaths--5,8806,1436,3696,592
Natural increase/decrease--7,7329,0979,2218,943
Net migration--18,5445,062-3,578-5,049
Change in persons in non-private dwellings--37690400

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2017.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 657 2035 forecast population change: 822 2034 forecast population change: 807 2033 forecast population change: 794 2032 forecast population change: 815 2031 forecast population change: 845 2030 forecast population change: 915 2029 forecast population change: 1,127 2028 forecast population change: 1,159 2027 forecast population change: 1,636 2026 forecast population change: 1,950 2025 forecast population change: 2,165 2024 forecast population change: 2,599 2023 forecast population change: 3,363 2022 forecast population change: 4,171 2021 forecast population change: 4,809 2020 forecast population change: 5,355 2019 forecast population change: 5,307 2018 forecast population change: 5,378 2017 forecast population change: 5,803
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 1,768 2035 Natural increase: 1,776 2034 Natural increase: 1,787 2033 Natural increase: 1,800 2032 Natural increase: 1,812 2031 Natural increase: 1,825 2030 Natural increase: 1,835 2029 Natural increase: 1,844 2028 Natural increase: 1,857 2027 Natural increase: 1,860 2026 Natural increase: 1,858 2025 Natural increase: 1,850 2024 Natural increase: 1,834 2023 Natural increase: 1,802 2022 Natural increase: 1,753 2021 Natural increase: 1,689 2020 Natural increase: 1,620 2019 Natural increase: 1,551 2018 Natural increase: 1,481 2017 Natural increase: 1,391 2036 Total deaths: 1,339 2035 Total deaths: 1,329 2034 Total deaths: 1,319 2033 Total deaths: 1,308 2032 Total deaths: 1,298 2031 Total deaths: 1,289 2030 Total deaths: 1,282 2029 Total deaths: 1,274 2028 Total deaths: 1,266 2027 Total deaths: 1,258 2026 Total deaths: 1,248 2025 Total deaths: 1,239 2024 Total deaths: 1,229 2023 Total deaths: 1,219 2022 Total deaths: 1,209 2021 Total deaths: 1,200 2020 Total deaths: 1,186 2019 Total deaths: 1,173 2018 Total deaths: 1,162 2017 Total deaths: 1,159 2036 Total births: 3,107 2035 Total births: 3,106 2034 Total births: 3,106 2033 Total births: 3,108 2032 Total births: 3,110 2031 Total births: 3,113 2030 Total births: 3,117 2029 Total births: 3,118 2028 Total births: 3,122 2027 Total births: 3,118 2026 Total births: 3,106 2025 Total births: 3,088 2024 Total births: 3,063 2023 Total births: 3,021 2022 Total births: 2,962 2021 Total births: 2,889 2020 Total births: 2,806 2019 Total births: 2,724 2018 Total births: 2,643 2017 Total births: 2,550 2036 Natural increase: 1,768 2035 Natural increase: 1,776 2034 Natural increase: 1,787 2033 Natural increase: 1,800 2032 Natural increase: 1,812 2031 Natural increase: 1,825 2030 Natural increase: 1,835 2029 Natural increase: 1,844 2028 Natural increase: 1,857 2027 Natural increase: 1,860 2026 Natural increase: 1,858 2025 Natural increase: 1,850 2024 Natural increase: 1,834 2023 Natural increase: 1,802 2022 Natural increase: 1,753 2021 Natural increase: 1,689 2020 Natural increase: 1,620 2019 Natural increase: 1,551 2018 Natural increase: 1,481 2017 Natural increase: 1,391 2036 Total deaths: 1,339 2035 Total deaths: 1,329 2034 Total deaths: 1,319 2033 Total deaths: 1,308 2032 Total deaths: 1,298 2031 Total deaths: 1,289 2030 Total deaths: 1,282 2029 Total deaths: 1,274 2028 Total deaths: 1,266 2027 Total deaths: 1,258 2026 Total deaths: 1,248 2025 Total deaths: 1,239 2024 Total deaths: 1,229 2023 Total deaths: 1,219 2022 Total deaths: 1,209 2021 Total deaths: 1,200 2020 Total deaths: 1,186 2019 Total deaths: 1,173 2018 Total deaths: 1,162 2017 Total deaths: 1,159 2036 Total births: 3,107 2035 Total births: 3,106 2034 Total births: 3,106 2033 Total births: 3,108 2032 Total births: 3,110 2031 Total births: 3,113 2030 Total births: 3,117 2029 Total births: 3,118 2028 Total births: 3,122 2027 Total births: 3,118 2026 Total births: 3,106 2025 Total births: 3,088 2024 Total births: 3,063 2023 Total births: 3,021 2022 Total births: 2,962 2021 Total births: 2,889 2020 Total births: 2,806 2019 Total births: 2,724 2018 Total births: 2,643 2017 Total births: 2,550
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: -1,111 2035 Total net migration: -954 2034 Total net migration: -980 2033 Total net migration: -1,006 2032 Total net migration: -997 2031 Total net migration: -980 2030 Total net migration: -921 2029 Total net migration: -717 2028 Total net migration: -697 2027 Total net migration: -264 2026 Total net migration: 92 2025 Total net migration: 316 2024 Total net migration: 765 2023 Total net migration: 1,561 2022 Total net migration: 2,328 2021 Total net migration: 3,086 2020 Total net migration: 3,669 2019 Total net migration: 3,699 2018 Total net migration: 3,732 2017 Total net migration: 4,359 2036 Total out migration: 19,615 2035 Total out migration: 19,578 2034 Total out migration: 19,540 2033 Total out migration: 19,508 2032 Total out migration: 19,473 2031 Total out migration: 19,434 2030 Total out migration: 19,388 2029 Total out migration: 19,315 2028 Total out migration: 19,236 2027 Total out migration: 19,099 2026 Total out migration: 18,935 2025 Total out migration: 18,748 2024 Total out migration: 18,503 2023 Total out migration: 18,166 2022 Total out migration: 17,700 2021 Total out migration: 17,193 2020 Total out migration: 16,598 2019 Total out migration: 16,004 2018 Total out migration: 15,426 2017 Total out migration: 14,724 2036 Total in migration: 18,504 2035 Total in migration: 18,624 2034 Total in migration: 18,559 2033 Total in migration: 18,502 2032 Total in migration: 18,476 2031 Total in migration: 18,454 2030 Total in migration: 18,467 2029 Total in migration: 18,597 2028 Total in migration: 18,539 2027 Total in migration: 18,835 2026 Total in migration: 19,027 2025 Total in migration: 19,063 2024 Total in migration: 19,269 2023 Total in migration: 19,727 2022 Total in migration: 20,028 2021 Total in migration: 20,279 2020 Total in migration: 20,267 2019 Total in migration: 19,702 2018 Total in migration: 19,158 2017 Total in migration: 19,082 2036 Total net migration: -1,111 2035 Total net migration: -954 2034 Total net migration: -980 2033 Total net migration: -1,006 2032 Total net migration: -997 2031 Total net migration: -980 2030 Total net migration: -921 2029 Total net migration: -717 2028 Total net migration: -697 2027 Total net migration: -264 2026 Total net migration: 92 2025 Total net migration: 316 2024 Total net migration: 765 2023 Total net migration: 1,561 2022 Total net migration: 2,328 2021 Total net migration: 3,086 2020 Total net migration: 3,669 2019 Total net migration: 3,699 2018 Total net migration: 3,732 2017 Total net migration: 4,359 2036 Total out migration: 19,615 2035 Total out migration: 19,578 2034 Total out migration: 19,540 2033 Total out migration: 19,508 2032 Total out migration: 19,473 2031 Total out migration: 19,434 2030 Total out migration: 19,388 2029 Total out migration: 19,315 2028 Total out migration: 19,236 2027 Total out migration: 19,099 2026 Total out migration: 18,935 2025 Total out migration: 18,748 2024 Total out migration: 18,503 2023 Total out migration: 18,166 2022 Total out migration: 17,700 2021 Total out migration: 17,193 2020 Total out migration: 16,598 2019 Total out migration: 16,004 2018 Total out migration: 15,426 2017 Total out migration: 14,724 2036 Total in migration: 18,504 2035 Total in migration: 18,624 2034 Total in migration: 18,559 2033 Total in migration: 18,502 2032 Total in migration: 18,476 2031 Total in migration: 18,454 2030 Total in migration: 18,467 2029 Total in migration: 18,597 2028 Total in migration: 18,539 2027 Total in migration: 18,835 2026 Total in migration: 19,027 2025 Total in migration: 19,063 2024 Total in migration: 19,269 2023 Total in migration: 19,727 2022 Total in migration: 20,028 2021 Total in migration: 20,279 2020 Total in migration: 20,267 2019 Total in migration: 19,702 2018 Total in migration: 19,158 2017 Total in migration: 19,082
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2017.
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