Bayside CouncilPopulation forecast
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Bayside Council

Components of population change

The greatest population change for the Bayside Council is forecast for the period from 2017 to 2021, which is expected to have a net increase of 25,330 people.

There are two ways in which populations can change, through net migration and/or through natural increase (births minus deaths). Some areas are more driven by one or other of these factors. Migration is largely driven by housing development, whereas natural increase is a function of the age of the population.

Components of population change
Bayside CouncilForecast period
Component2012 to 20162017 to 20212022 to 20262027 to 20312032 to 2036
Births11,60113,50215,24815,69315,650
Deaths5,3735,7126,0576,3206,560
Natural increase/decrease6,2277,7909,1919,3739,090
Net migration12,84117,1644,747-3,683-5,129
Change in persons in non-private dwellings18837690400

Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, October 2016.

Forecast population change
Forecast population change 2036 forecast population change: 666 2035 forecast population change: 819 2034 forecast population change: 822 2033 forecast population change: 815 2032 forecast population change: 840 2031 forecast population change: 880 2030 forecast population change: 944 2029 forecast population change: 1,117 2028 forecast population change: 1,158 2027 forecast population change: 1,631 2026 forecast population change: 1,984 2025 forecast population change: 2,156 2024 forecast population change: 2,533 2023 forecast population change: 3,256 2022 forecast population change: 4,099 2021 forecast population change: 4,668 2020 forecast population change: 5,088 2019 forecast population change: 5,050 2018 forecast population change: 5,083 2017 forecast population change: 5,441 2016 forecast population change: 6,926 2015 forecast population change: 5,245 2014 forecast population change: 3,359 2013 forecast population change: 1,882 2012 forecast population change: 1,844
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease
Forecast births, deaths and natural increase/decrease 2036 Natural increase: 1,795 2035 Natural increase: 1,805 2034 Natural increase: 1,817 2033 Natural increase: 1,830 2032 Natural increase: 1,843 2031 Natural increase: 1,856 2030 Natural increase: 1,866 2029 Natural increase: 1,875 2028 Natural increase: 1,887 2027 Natural increase: 1,889 2026 Natural increase: 1,883 2025 Natural increase: 1,872 2024 Natural increase: 1,852 2023 Natural increase: 1,818 2022 Natural increase: 1,766 2021 Natural increase: 1,703 2020 Natural increase: 1,632 2019 Natural increase: 1,560 2018 Natural increase: 1,488 2017 Natural increase: 1,407 2016 Natural increase: 1,309 2015 Natural increase: 1,235 2014 Natural increase: 1,211 2013 Natural increase: 1,223 2012 Natural increase: 1,249 2036 Total births: 3,128 2035 Total births: 3,128 2034 Total births: 3,129 2033 Total births: 3,131 2032 Total births: 3,133 2031 Total births: 3,137 2030 Total births: 3,139 2029 Total births: 3,140 2028 Total births: 3,142 2027 Total births: 3,135 2026 Total births: 3,118 2025 Total births: 3,095 2024 Total births: 3,065 2023 Total births: 3,018 2022 Total births: 2,952 2021 Total births: 2,873 2020 Total births: 2,786 2019 Total births: 2,700 2018 Total births: 2,618 2017 Total births: 2,525 2016 Total births: 2,415 2015 Total births: 2,325 2014 Total births: 2,286 2013 Total births: 2,296 2012 Total births: 2,279 2036 Total deaths: 1,334 2035 Total deaths: 1,323 2034 Total deaths: 1,312 2033 Total deaths: 1,301 2032 Total deaths: 1,290 2031 Total deaths: 1,281 2030 Total deaths: 1,273 2029 Total deaths: 1,264 2028 Total deaths: 1,255 2027 Total deaths: 1,246 2026 Total deaths: 1,235 2025 Total deaths: 1,224 2024 Total deaths: 1,213 2023 Total deaths: 1,199 2022 Total deaths: 1,186 2021 Total deaths: 1,170 2020 Total deaths: 1,154 2019 Total deaths: 1,141 2018 Total deaths: 1,130 2017 Total deaths: 1,118 2016 Total deaths: 1,106 2015 Total deaths: 1,090 2014 Total deaths: 1,075 2013 Total deaths: 1,074 2012 Total deaths: 1,029 2036 Natural increase: 1,795 2035 Natural increase: 1,805 2034 Natural increase: 1,817 2033 Natural increase: 1,830 2032 Natural increase: 1,843 2031 Natural increase: 1,856 2030 Natural increase: 1,866 2029 Natural increase: 1,875 2028 Natural increase: 1,887 2027 Natural increase: 1,889 2026 Natural increase: 1,883 2025 Natural increase: 1,872 2024 Natural increase: 1,852 2023 Natural increase: 1,818 2022 Natural increase: 1,766 2021 Natural increase: 1,703 2020 Natural increase: 1,632 2019 Natural increase: 1,560 2018 Natural increase: 1,488 2017 Natural increase: 1,407 2016 Natural increase: 1,309 2015 Natural increase: 1,235 2014 Natural increase: 1,211 2013 Natural increase: 1,223 2012 Natural increase: 1,249 2036 Total births: 3,128 2035 Total births: 3,128 2034 Total births: 3,129 2033 Total births: 3,131 2032 Total births: 3,133 2031 Total births: 3,137 2030 Total births: 3,139 2029 Total births: 3,140 2028 Total births: 3,142 2027 Total births: 3,135 2026 Total births: 3,118 2025 Total births: 3,095 2024 Total births: 3,065 2023 Total births: 3,018 2022 Total births: 2,952 2021 Total births: 2,873 2020 Total births: 2,786 2019 Total births: 2,700 2018 Total births: 2,618 2017 Total births: 2,525 2016 Total births: 2,415 2015 Total births: 2,325 2014 Total births: 2,286 2013 Total births: 2,296 2012 Total births: 2,279 2036 Total deaths: 1,334 2035 Total deaths: 1,323 2034 Total deaths: 1,312 2033 Total deaths: 1,301 2032 Total deaths: 1,290 2031 Total deaths: 1,281 2030 Total deaths: 1,273 2029 Total deaths: 1,264 2028 Total deaths: 1,255 2027 Total deaths: 1,246 2026 Total deaths: 1,235 2025 Total deaths: 1,224 2024 Total deaths: 1,213 2023 Total deaths: 1,199 2022 Total deaths: 1,186 2021 Total deaths: 1,170 2020 Total deaths: 1,154 2019 Total deaths: 1,141 2018 Total deaths: 1,130 2017 Total deaths: 1,118 2016 Total deaths: 1,106 2015 Total deaths: 1,090 2014 Total deaths: 1,075 2013 Total deaths: 1,074 2012 Total deaths: 1,029
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.
Forecast in, out and net migration
Forecast in, out and net migration 2036 Total net migration: -1,129 2035 Total net migration: -986 2034 Total net migration: -996 2033 Total net migration: -1,016 2032 Total net migration: -1,003 2031 Total net migration: -975 2030 Total net migration: -923 2029 Total net migration: -759 2028 Total net migration: -729 2027 Total net migration: -298 2026 Total net migration: 101 2025 Total net migration: 284 2024 Total net migration: 681 2023 Total net migration: 1,438 2022 Total net migration: 2,243 2021 Total net migration: 2,931 2020 Total net migration: 3,390 2019 Total net migration: 3,432 2018 Total net migration: 3,431 2017 Total net migration: 3,981 2016 Total net migration: 5,566 2015 Total net migration: 3,909 2014 Total net migration: 2,148 2013 Total net migration: 659 2012 Total net migration: 558 2036 Total out migration: 19,715 2035 Total out migration: 19,678 2034 Total out migration: 19,643 2033 Total out migration: 19,611 2032 Total out migration: 19,573 2031 Total out migration: 19,535 2030 Total out migration: 19,488 2029 Total out migration: 19,423 2028 Total out migration: 19,352 2027 Total out migration: 19,221 2026 Total out migration: 19,058 2025 Total out migration: 18,871 2024 Total out migration: 18,637 2023 Total out migration: 18,311 2022 Total out migration: 17,846 2021 Total out migration: 17,353 2020 Total out migration: 16,792 2019 Total out migration: 16,226 2018 Total out migration: 15,674 2017 Total out migration: 15,022 2016 Total out migration: 14,208 2015 Total out migration: 13,663 2014 Total out migration: 13,326 2013 Total out migration: 13,148 2012 Total out migration: 13,227 2036 Total in migration: 18,586 2035 Total in migration: 18,692 2034 Total in migration: 18,647 2033 Total in migration: 18,596 2032 Total in migration: 18,570 2031 Total in migration: 18,559 2030 Total in migration: 18,566 2029 Total in migration: 18,665 2028 Total in migration: 18,623 2027 Total in migration: 18,924 2026 Total in migration: 19,159 2025 Total in migration: 19,155 2024 Total in migration: 19,318 2023 Total in migration: 19,750 2022 Total in migration: 20,089 2021 Total in migration: 20,284 2020 Total in migration: 20,181 2019 Total in migration: 19,658 2018 Total in migration: 19,104 2017 Total in migration: 19,003 2016 Total in migration: 19,774 2015 Total in migration: 17,572 2014 Total in migration: 15,475 2013 Total in migration: 13,807 2012 Total in migration: 13,786 2036 Total net migration: -1,129 2035 Total net migration: -986 2034 Total net migration: -996 2033 Total net migration: -1,016 2032 Total net migration: -1,003 2031 Total net migration: -975 2030 Total net migration: -923 2029 Total net migration: -759 2028 Total net migration: -729 2027 Total net migration: -298 2026 Total net migration: 101 2025 Total net migration: 284 2024 Total net migration: 681 2023 Total net migration: 1,438 2022 Total net migration: 2,243 2021 Total net migration: 2,931 2020 Total net migration: 3,390 2019 Total net migration: 3,432 2018 Total net migration: 3,431 2017 Total net migration: 3,981 2016 Total net migration: 5,566 2015 Total net migration: 3,909 2014 Total net migration: 2,148 2013 Total net migration: 659 2012 Total net migration: 558 2036 Total out migration: 19,715 2035 Total out migration: 19,678 2034 Total out migration: 19,643 2033 Total out migration: 19,611 2032 Total out migration: 19,573 2031 Total out migration: 19,535 2030 Total out migration: 19,488 2029 Total out migration: 19,423 2028 Total out migration: 19,352 2027 Total out migration: 19,221 2026 Total out migration: 19,058 2025 Total out migration: 18,871 2024 Total out migration: 18,637 2023 Total out migration: 18,311 2022 Total out migration: 17,846 2021 Total out migration: 17,353 2020 Total out migration: 16,792 2019 Total out migration: 16,226 2018 Total out migration: 15,674 2017 Total out migration: 15,022 2016 Total out migration: 14,208 2015 Total out migration: 13,663 2014 Total out migration: 13,326 2013 Total out migration: 13,148 2012 Total out migration: 13,227 2036 Total in migration: 18,586 2035 Total in migration: 18,692 2034 Total in migration: 18,647 2033 Total in migration: 18,596 2032 Total in migration: 18,570 2031 Total in migration: 18,559 2030 Total in migration: 18,566 2029 Total in migration: 18,665 2028 Total in migration: 18,623 2027 Total in migration: 18,924 2026 Total in migration: 19,159 2025 Total in migration: 19,155 2024 Total in migration: 19,318 2023 Total in migration: 19,750 2022 Total in migration: 20,089 2021 Total in migration: 20,284 2020 Total in migration: 20,181 2019 Total in migration: 19,658 2018 Total in migration: 19,104 2017 Total in migration: 19,003 2016 Total in migration: 19,774 2015 Total in migration: 17,572 2014 Total in migration: 15,475 2013 Total in migration: 13,807 2012 Total in migration: 13,786
Population and household forecasts, 2011 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, October 2016.
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