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City of YarraPopulation forecast

Cremorne and Burnley - Richmond South

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Cremorne and Burnley - Richmond South indicate a 20.8% increase in population under working age, a 108.7% increase in population of retirement age, and a 37.6% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Yarra is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Cremorne and Burnley - Richmond South - Total persons202120312046Change between 2021 and 2046
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42104.62814.44044.4+194
5 to 91864.11903.02702.9+83
10 to 141523.31913.02803.0+128
15 to 191142.52383.73033.3+189
20 to 243637.95027.86346.9+272
25 to 2977717.097915.21,32314.3+545
30 to 3468315.087313.51,27613.8+592
35 to 3948210.55879.18399.1+358
40 to 443497.65047.86977.5+349
45 to 492726.04336.75856.3+313
50 to 542515.53124.84955.4+244
55 to 591773.93064.75115.5+333
60 to 641974.33104.84444.8+247
65 to 69831.82103.33043.3+221
70 to 74881.91682.62402.6+151
75 to 79451.01352.12252.4+181
80 to 84891.91141.81741.9+85
85 and over501.11141.82422.6+192
Total persons4,567100.06,448100.09,245100.0+4,678
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in Cremorne and Burnley - Richmond South was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 17.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 202 and account for 15.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 979 persons.

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