City of VincentPopulation forecast
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North Perth

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for North Perth indicate a 19.5% increase in population under working age, a 20.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 22.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Vincent is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
North Perth - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45305.86996.27746.1+244
5 to 95355.85765.16505.1+115
10 to 143954.34704.25584.4+163
15 to 193704.05795.26284.9+258
20 to 246016.59338.31,0348.1+433
25 to 2994110.21,0919.71,2279.7+286
30 to 348649.49878.81,1178.8+253
35 to 397578.29158.29987.9+241
40 to 446427.08037.28937.0+251
45 to 496727.37406.68506.7+178
50 to 546407.06615.97746.1+134
55 to 595566.16405.76975.5+141
60 to 644334.75975.36244.9+191
65 to 693393.74924.45584.4+219
70 to 742232.43813.44983.9+275
75 to 792492.72682.43712.9+122
80 to 841872.01601.42451.9+58
85 and over2532.82071.82131.7-40
Total persons9,187100.011,202100.012,709100.0+3,522

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 213 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 245 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 371 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 498 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 558 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 624 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 697 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 774 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 850 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 893 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 998 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 1,117 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 1,227 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 1,034 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 628 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 558 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 650 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 774 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 207 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 160 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 268 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 381 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 492 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 597 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 640 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 661 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 740 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 803 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 915 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 987 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,091 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 933 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 579 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 470 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 576 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 699 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 253 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 187 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 249 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 223 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 339 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 433 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 556 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 640 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 672 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 642 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 757 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 864 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 941 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 601 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 370 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 395 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 535 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 530
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 85 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 103 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 116 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 66 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 27 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 57 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 113 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 110 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 90 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 83 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 130 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 136 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 101 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 49 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 88 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 74 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 74 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -46 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: -27 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 19 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 158 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 153 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 164 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 84 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 68 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 161 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 158 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 123 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 150 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 332 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 209 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 75 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 41 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 169
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in North Perth was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 20 to 24, which is expected to increase by 332 and account for 8.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,091 persons.

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