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City of VincentPopulation forecast

City of Vincent

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Vincent indicate a 8.1% increase in population under working age, a 20.0% increase in population of retirement age, and a 4.7% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Vincent is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Vincent - Total persons202120262041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,9805.22,3425.82,7055.5+725
5 to 91,8184.81,8754.62,3234.7+505
10 to 141,6794.41,7034.22,0244.1+344
15 to 191,3513.61,8654.62,1904.5+839
20 to 242,6767.12,9907.43,8517.8+1,175
25 to 294,34111.54,33910.75,48511.2+1,145
30 to 344,37611.64,24910.55,17810.6+803
35 to 393,7009.83,6108.94,1398.4+439
40 to 442,7967.43,0337.53,2786.7+482
45 to 492,4616.52,5916.42,9256.0+464
50 to 542,3556.22,4446.02,8375.8+482
55 to 592,1385.62,2755.62,6885.5+550
60 to 641,8194.81,9294.82,3024.7+484
65 to 691,3773.61,5863.91,9273.9+550
70 to 741,0812.91,2313.01,6333.3+552
75 to 796961.89922.51,3762.8+680
80 to 845451.46181.51,0792.2+534
85 and over6491.77892.01,1402.3+491
Total persons37,838100.040,462100.049,081100.0+11,243
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Vincent was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 11.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 15 to 19, which is expected to increase by 513 and account for 4.6% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 4,339 persons.

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