City of VincentPopulation forecast
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This forecast has been updated with 2016 Census dwelling counts and the 2016 Estimated Resident Population. More information can be found here.

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City of Vincent

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for the City of Vincent indicate a 22.9% increase in population under working age, a 27.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 24.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Vincent is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Vincent - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4 2,0165.72,5845.82,8815.6+865
5 to 9 1,7765.01,9944.52,2444.3+468
10 to 14 1,2673.61,6383.71,9273.7+660
15 to 19 1,2553.52,0944.72,3264.5+1,071
20 to 24 2,7277.73,8988.84,4198.5+1,692
25 to 29 4,85713.65,20511.75,95911.5+1,103
30 to 34 4,45012.54,87511.05,58310.8+1,133
35 to 39 3,1949.04,4219.94,8489.4+1,654
40 to 44 2,5217.13,6418.24,0437.8+1,522
45 to 49 2,3036.52,9126.63,6707.1+1,367
50 to 54 2,1276.02,4195.43,1886.2+1,061
55 to 59 1,9295.42,1484.82,5795.0+650
60 to 64 1,4554.11,8924.32,1194.1+664
65 to 69 1,2163.41,5943.61,7853.5+569
70 to 74 7392.11,1422.61,4732.8+734
75 to 79 6431.88591.91,1432.2+500
80 to 84 4781.35231.27691.5+291
85 and over6391.86021.47711.5+132
Total persons35,592100.044,443100.051,726100.0+16,134

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, September 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 771 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 769 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 1,143 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 1,473 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 1,785 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 2,119 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 2,579 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 3,188 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 3,670 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 4,043 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 4,848 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 5,583 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 5,959 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 4,419 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 2,326 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 1,927 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 2,244 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 2,881 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 602 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 523 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 859 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 1,142 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 1,594 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 1,892 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 2,148 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 2,419 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 2,912 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 3,641 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 4,421 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 4,875 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 5,205 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 3,898 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 2,094 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 1,638 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 1,994 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 2,584 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 639 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 478 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 643 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 739 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 1,216 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 1,455 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 1,929 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 2,127 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 2,303 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 2,521 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 3,194 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 4,450 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 4,857 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 2,727 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 1,255 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 1,267 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 1,776 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 2,016
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 169 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 245 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 284 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 331 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 191 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 227 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 430 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 769 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 758 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 402 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 427 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 707 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 755 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 521 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 232 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 290 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 249 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 297 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -37 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 45 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 216 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 403 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 378 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 437 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 219 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 292 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 609 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 1,120 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 1,227 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 425 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 348 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 1,172 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 839 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 371 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 218 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 568
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, September 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Vincent was ages 25 to 29 , which accounted for 13.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39 , which is expected to increase by 1,227 and account for 9.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 5,205 persons.

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