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The Hills Shire CouncilPopulation forecast

Box Hill

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2030, the age structure forecasts for Box Hill indicate a 82.5% increase in males under working age, a 428.6% increase in males of retirement age, and a 76.4% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of The Hills Shire Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Box Hill - Total males202120302036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 455711.78759.61,55910.4+1,002
5 to 949810.495910.51,50210.0+1,004
10 to 143898.18028.81,4309.5+1,042
15 to 192204.65656.29686.4+748
20 to 242284.84545.05903.9+362
25 to 293367.05075.68375.6+501
30 to 3452511.07187.91,2918.6+766
35 to 3965313.77067.71,2558.3+602
40 to 4448310.17568.39376.2+454
45 to 492866.07197.98935.9+608
50 to 541974.14895.48465.6+649
55 to 591142.43834.27535.0+639
60 to 641122.32682.95843.9+472
65 to 69901.91802.04032.7+313
70 to 74430.92422.73232.1+280
75 to 79230.52452.73572.4+334
80 to 84150.31451.63082.0+293
85 and over40.11131.22141.4+210
Total persons4,771100.09,125100.015,050100.0+10,279
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), January 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Box Hill was ages 35 to 39, which accounted for 13.7% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2030 is forecast to be in ages 5 to 9, which is expected to increase by 461 and account for 10.5% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2030 is 5 to 9 years, with a total of 959 males.

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