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City of SwanPopulation forecast

Ellenbrook

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Ellenbrook indicate a 15.4% increase in females under working age, a 45.9% increase in females of retirement age, and a 20.9% increase in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Swan is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ellenbrook - Total females[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222051Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41,9259.31,8647.52,2316.4+306
5 to 91,8138.82,1428.62,3136.6+500
10 to 141,4937.22,0328.12,3086.6+815
15 to 191,3116.41,6856.72,1726.2+861
20 to 241,4186.91,4885.92,0655.9+647
25 to 291,8639.01,7707.12,2536.4+390
30 to 341,8539.02,1628.62,4637.0+610
35 to 391,7018.32,1838.72,5857.4+884
40 to 441,6287.91,9367.72,5717.4+943
45 to 491,3996.81,6136.42,4156.9+1,017
50 to 541,0785.21,5356.12,2146.3+1,135
55 to 598534.11,2344.92,0265.8+1,173
60 to 646683.21,0394.21,8435.3+1,174
65 to 695762.87292.91,5954.6+1,019
70 to 744092.06242.51,3673.9+957
75 to 792811.44301.71,1043.2+823
80 to 841690.82751.18152.3+646
85 and over1630.82741.16051.7+442
Total persons20,601100.025,015100.034,944100.0+14,342
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for females in Ellenbrook was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 9.3% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 10 to 14, which is expected to increase by 539 and account for 8.1% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2022 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 2,183 females.

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