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City of SwanPopulation forecast

Ellenbrook Town Centre

Population and age structure

Between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022, the age structure forecasts for Ellenbrook Town Centre indicate a 86.3% increase in population under working age, a 58.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 83.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Swan is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Ellenbrook Town Centre - Total persons[Parameter].[Year1Label]20222051Change between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4283.9383.12787.2+250
5 to 9121.7383.01935.0+181
10 to 14111.5191.51584.1+147
15 to 19273.7453.61834.7+156
20 to 248511.713711.03669.5+281
25 to 297610.515912.743711.3+361
30 to 34354.8907.23198.2+284
35 to 39223.0725.82576.6+235
40 to 44283.9362.81995.1+171
45 to 49162.2272.21624.2+146
50 to 54182.5272.11453.8+127
55 to 5971.0191.51223.2+115
60 to 64263.6131.01072.8+81
65 to 69486.6393.11263.3+78
70 to 74628.51088.61714.4+109
75 to 79659.014011.21965.1+131
80 to 84669.11078.52175.6+151
85 and over9412.913711.02356.1+141
Total persons726100.01,251100.03,873100.0+3,147
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2024.

Key findings

In [Parameter].[Year1Label], the dominant age structure for persons in Ellenbrook Town Centre was ages 85 and over, which accounted for 12.9% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between [Parameter].[Year1Label] and 2022 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 83 and account for 12.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2022 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 159 persons.

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