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City of SwanPopulation forecast

City of Swan

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for City of Swan indicate a 41.9% increase in males under working age, a 55.3% increase in males of retirement age, and a 34.4% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Swan is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Swan - Total males201620262051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,4768.07,7648.212,2037.9+6,727
5 to 95,1337.57,4157.912,2117.9+7,078
10 to 144,8927.26,8247.211,5097.5+6,617
15 to 194,8117.06,3446.710,5526.9+5,741
20 to 244,9927.36,6377.010,2816.7+5,288
25 to 295,3447.87,4727.911,0957.2+5,752
30 to 345,6478.37,8198.311,7517.6+6,104
35 to 394,8177.17,1607.611,1157.2+6,299
40 to 444,7487.06,3976.810,2616.7+5,514
45 to 494,7607.05,7696.19,6496.3+4,889
50 to 544,4136.55,3695.78,8205.7+4,407
55 to 593,7985.65,0105.37,9055.1+4,107
60 to 643,0214.44,2974.66,7954.4+3,774
65 to 692,4353.63,5023.75,8453.8+3,410
70 to 741,6632.42,5932.84,7953.1+3,133
75 to 791,1251.61,8822.03,8812.5+2,756
80 to 847101.01,1831.32,9221.9+2,212
85 and over4990.78290.92,1791.4+1,680
Total persons68,285100.094,262100.0153,770100.0+85,485
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2019.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for males in City of Swan was ages 30 to 34, which accounted for 8.3% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 35 to 39, which is expected to increase by 2,343 and account for 7.6% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 7,819 males.

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