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Shellharbour City CouncilPopulation forecast

Shellharbour City Council

Dwellings and development map

Between 2022 and 2046, Calderwood is forecast for the greatest increase in development of new dwellings in Shellharbour City Council.

Visualising the geographic pattern of growth in dwelling stock across Shellharbour City Council is a good starting point for assessing the scale and type of change each part of the area is undergoing. Some areas will be experiencing significant growth in new dwellings, either through greenfield development or densification and renewal.

However it would be a mistake to assume that areas not experiencing significant housing development are not undergoing change. Other processes will be at work such as the aging-in-place of the existing population and changing household structures. The age structure map helps visualize population shifts.

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Forecast dwellings and development
Shellharbour City Council20222046Change between 2022 and 2046
AreaNumber%Number%Number%
Shellharbour City Council30,515100.039,988100.0+9,473+31.0
Albion Park5,84819.27,96919.9+2,122+36.3
Albion Park Rail2,8129.23,1047.8+292+10.4
Barrack Heights2,2537.42,4556.1+202+9.0
Blackbutt - Shellharbour City Centre1,8516.12,4506.1+600+32.4
Calderwood1,0723.53,6579.1+2,586+241.3
Flinders2,5248.32,8137.0+289+11.5
Lake Illawarra1,6355.42,0765.2+441+27.0
Mount Warrigal1,8216.01,8834.7+62+3.4
Oak Flats2,7669.13,4548.6+688+24.9
Rural Balance2700.92620.7-8-3.1
Shell Cove2,8119.24,41211.0+1,601+57.0
Shellharbour - Barrack Point1,8796.22,1715.4+292+15.6
Warilla2,9759.73,2828.2+307+10.3
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2046, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

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