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Moorabool ShirePopulation forecast

Merrimu, Hopetoun Park

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Merrimu, Hopetoun Park indicate a 259.6% increase in males under working age, a 99.2% increase in males of retirement age, and a 225.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Moorabool Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

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Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Merrimu, Hopetoun Park - Total males202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 4313.41776.23966.2+365
5 to 99510.528610.15969.3+501
10 to 14778.52679.45949.2+517
15 to 19768.42338.25598.7+483
20 to 24556.11364.84196.5+364
25 to 29273.02157.64376.8+410
30 to 34303.32268.04537.1+423
35 to 39556.12528.95338.3+478
40 to 44899.929710.565110.1+562
45 to 49697.72067.25308.3+461
50 to 54687.51394.93725.8+304
55 to 59677.4883.12383.7+171
60 to 64343.8622.21392.2+105
65 to 69353.9672.41041.6+69
70 to 74515.7822.91622.5+111
75 to 79252.8531.91312.0+106
80 to 84141.6351.2701.1+56
85 and over30.3180.6360.6+33
Total persons901100.02,840100.06,419100.0+5,518
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), February 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Merrimu, Hopetoun Park was ages 5 to 9, which accounted for 10.5% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 208 and account for 10.5% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 40 to 44 years, with a total of 297 males.

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