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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Melton East

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2036, the age structure forecasts for Melton East indicate a 26.8% decrease in females under working age, a 65.5% increase in females of retirement age, and a 7.3% decrease in females of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Melton is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton East - Total females202120362043Change between 2021 and 2043
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42,0395.91,8015.51,7525.4-287
5 to 92,7437.91,9035.81,8835.8-860
10 to 143,0948.92,0606.32,0306.2-1,064
15 to 192,7497.92,1996.72,1256.5-624
20 to 242,1336.12,1606.61,9686.0-165
25 to 291,9215.51,9766.01,8725.7-49
30 to 342,2106.42,0846.32,0796.4-131
35 to 392,8948.32,2676.92,2867.0-608
40 to 443,1679.12,3477.12,3397.2-828
45 to 493,0708.82,3707.22,3047.1-766
50 to 542,3546.82,3547.12,1216.5-233
55 to 591,7895.22,2076.72,0036.1+214
60 to 641,4044.01,9866.01,8935.8+489
65 to 691,1213.21,5924.81,7095.2+588
70 to 749132.61,2833.91,4984.6+585
75 to 795151.59933.01,1623.6+647
80 to 843371.07112.28462.6+509
85 and over2810.86632.08102.5+529
Total persons34,734100.032,957100.032,680100.0-2,054
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2051, prepared by .id (informed decisions), April 2024.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for females in Melton East was ages 40 to 44, which accounted for 9.1% of the total females.

The largest increase in females between 2021 and 2036 is forecast to be in ages 60 to 64, which is expected to increase by 582 and account for 6.0% of the total females.

The largest female 5 year age group in 2036 is 45 to 49 years, with a total of 2,370 females.

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