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City of MeltonPopulation forecast

Melton Growth Areas

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Melton Growth Areas indicate a 1739.1% increase in population under working age, a 1281.5% increase in population of retirement age, and a 1075.3% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Melton Growth Areas is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Melton Growth Areas - Total persons201620312051Change between 2016 and 2051
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47778.312,87410.427,4829.5+26,705
5 to 96116.512,2159.826,8989.3+26,286
10 to 145135.59,8738.024,0978.3+23,583
15 to 194004.37,4856.020,4407.0+20,040
20 to 247367.87,1895.817,1995.9+16,463
25 to 291,33314.210,7288.620,0976.9+18,765
30 to 341,22913.114,05511.325,7418.9+24,512
35 to 3994310.013,71611.127,1969.4+26,253
40 to 446647.110,4568.424,0648.3+23,400
45 to 495686.07,1955.820,2067.0+19,637
50 to 544374.64,9974.015,6395.4+15,202
55 to 593303.53,6002.911,3403.9+11,009
60 to 643533.82,7672.28,3392.9+7,986
65 to 692442.62,0981.76,2752.2+6,030
70 to 741451.51,6641.35,0761.7+4,931
75 to 79730.81,3181.14,0971.4+4,024
80 to 84320.31,0250.83,1951.1+3,163
85 and over100.18580.73,0301.0+3,020
Total persons9,399100.0124,114100.0290,409100.0+281,010
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2051, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2020.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Melton Growth Areas was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 14.2% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 30 to 34, which is expected to increase by 12,826 and account for 11.3% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 30 to 34 years, with a total of 14,055 persons.

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