City of MaribyrnongPopulation forecast
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West Precinct

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for West Precinct indicate a 18.1% increase in population under working age, a 52.9% increase in population of retirement age, and a 15.8% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of City of Maribyrnong is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
West Precinct - Total persons201620262041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 47097.28377.19776.8+268
5 to 95805.96945.98175.6+237
10 to 145535.66445.57735.3+220
15 to 196186.37636.59306.4+312
20 to 241,00810.31,0889.31,3129.1+304
25 to 291,03410.61,1639.91,4069.7+372
30 to 349139.31,0739.11,2628.7+349
35 to 397007.28787.51,0417.2+341
40 to 446006.17386.38756.0+275
45 to 495515.66335.47915.5+240
50 to 545385.56035.17455.2+207
55 to 595205.35644.86984.8+178
60 to 644784.95564.76584.5+180
65 to 693803.95274.56154.3+235
70 to 742362.44353.75443.8+308
75 to 791421.52862.44323.0+290
80 to 841311.31521.33372.3+206
85 and over991.01110.92561.8+157
Total persons9,790100.011,748100.014,467100.0+4,677

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, June 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 256 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 337 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 432 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 544 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 615 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 658 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 698 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 745 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 791 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 875 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 1,041 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 1,262 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 1,406 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 1,312 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 930 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 773 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 817 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 977 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 111 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 152 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 286 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 435 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 527 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 556 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 564 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 603 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 633 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 738 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 878 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 1,073 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 1,163 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 1,088 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 763 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 644 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 694 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 837 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 99 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 131 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 142 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 236 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 380 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 478 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 520 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 538 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 551 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 600 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 700 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 913 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 1,034 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 1,008 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 618 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 553 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 580 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 709
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2041: 144 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2041: 184 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2041: 146 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2041: 108 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2041: 87 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2041: 102 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2041: 134 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2041: 142 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2041: 158 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2041: 137 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2041: 162 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2041: 190 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2041: 243 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2041: 224 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2041: 168 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2041: 129 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2041: 122 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2041: 139 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 21 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 144 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 199 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 147 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: 78 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 44 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 82 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 138 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 178 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 160 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 129 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 80 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 145 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 91 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 114 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 128
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, June 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in West Precinct was ages 25 to 29, which accounted for 10.6% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 199 and account for 3.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 25 to 29 years, with a total of 1,163 persons.

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