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Hume CityPopulation forecast

Greenvale - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for Greenvale - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke indicate a 16.2% increase in males under working age, a 52.3% increase in males of retirement age, and a 21.6% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Hume City is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Greenvale - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke - Total males202120312041Change between 2021 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 48687.98556.39045.8+36
5 to 97987.39436.91,0246.6+226
10 to 147606.91,0217.51,0696.9+309
15 to 197376.79176.71,0366.7+299
20 to 247757.08416.29736.3+198
25 to 297526.87815.78585.5+106
30 to 348047.39036.69416.1+137
35 to 398487.71,0437.71,1027.1+254
40 to 447016.41,0307.61,1367.3+434
45 to 496636.09507.01,0967.1+433
50 to 547546.98736.41,0977.1+343
55 to 596956.38196.01,0326.7+337
60 to 646235.77815.78935.8+270
65 to 694784.36334.77384.8+260
70 to 743453.14893.66063.9+262
75 to 792262.13622.74713.0+245
80 to 841221.12181.63102.0+188
85 and over420.41461.12091.4+167
Total persons10,990100.013,605100.015,495100.0+4,505
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), May 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Greenvale - Oaklands Junction - Yuroke was ages 0 to 4, which accounted for 7.9% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 40 to 44, which is expected to increase by 329 and account for 7.6% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2031 is 35 to 39 years, with a total of 1,043 males.

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