Eurobodalla Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Narooma - North Narooma - Kianga

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Narooma - North Narooma - Kianga indicate a 41.9% increase in population under working age, a 10.2% increase in population of retirement age, and a 5.1% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Eurobodalla Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Narooma - North Narooma - Kianga - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 41374.01714.51764.4+40
5 to 91364.02065.42115.2+75
10 to 141303.81955.12095.2+79
15 to 191103.21393.71684.2+59
20 to 241033.0992.61263.1+23
25 to 291474.31072.81172.9-30
30 to 341123.31263.31273.2+15
35 to 391183.41694.41634.0+45
40 to 441654.82005.22075.1+42
45 to 491885.52015.32265.6+38
50 to 541745.12456.42676.6+93
55 to 592918.53038.03167.8+25
60 to 6441112.03238.53729.2-39
65 to 6940811.93639.53779.4-31
70 to 742978.73599.43127.8+15
75 to 792076.03017.92827.0+76
80 to 841564.61834.82255.6+69
85 and over1313.81153.01473.6+15
Total persons3,420100.03,802100.04,029100.0+608

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 147 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 225 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 282 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 312 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 377 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 372 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 316 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 267 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 226 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 207 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 163 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 127 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 117 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 126 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 168 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 209 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 211 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 176 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 115 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 183 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 301 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 359 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 363 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 323 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 303 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 245 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 201 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 200 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 169 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 126 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 107 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 99 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 139 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 195 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 206 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 171 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 131 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 156 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 207 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 297 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 408 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 411 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 291 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 174 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 188 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 165 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 118 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 112 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 147 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 103 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 110 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 130 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 136 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 137
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 32 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 42 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: -18 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: -46 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: 14 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: 49 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 13 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 22 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: -6 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 1 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 10 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 27 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 29 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 15 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: -17 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 27 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 94 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 61 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: -45 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -88 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: 12 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: 71 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 13 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 35 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 51 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: -39 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 29 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 65 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 70 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 34
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Narooma - North Narooma - Kianga was ages 60 to 64, which accounted for 12.0% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 75 to 79, which is expected to increase by 94 and account for 7.9% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 363 persons.

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