Eurobodalla Shire CouncilPopulation forecast
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Surf Beach - Batehaven - Sunshine Bay - Denhams Beach

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Surf Beach - Batehaven - Sunshine Bay - Denhams Beach indicate a 18.9% increase in population under working age, a 15.8% increase in population of retirement age, and a 3.0% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Eurobodalla Shire is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Surf Beach - Batehaven - Sunshine Bay - Denhams Beach - Total persons201620262036Change between 2016 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 42734.82934.73024.7+29
5 to 92744.83415.53465.4+72
10 to 142935.23655.93705.7+76
15 to 192674.72974.83225.0+55
20 to 241973.52053.32343.6+37
25 to 292083.72153.52223.4+13
30 to 342153.82333.82333.6+17
35 to 392374.22554.12553.9+18
40 to 442424.32904.72934.5+51
45 to 492965.23105.03164.9+20
50 to 543576.33275.33515.4-6
55 to 594167.43976.44056.3-12
60 to 644858.64807.74627.2-23
65 to 695389.55478.85368.3-2
70 to 744497.95388.75428.4+93
75 to 793796.74687.54927.6+113
80 to 842464.43355.44096.3+163
85 and over2865.13105.03655.7+79
Total persons5,661100.06,205100.06,455100.0+794

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id , the population experts, December 2017.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2036: 365 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2036: 409 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2036: 492 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2036: 542 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2036: 536 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2036: 462 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2036: 405 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2036: 351 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2036: 316 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2036: 293 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2036: 255 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2036: 233 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2036: 222 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2036: 234 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2036: 322 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2036: 370 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2036: 346 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2036: 302 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026: 310 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026: 335 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026: 468 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026: 538 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026: 547 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026: 480 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026: 397 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026: 327 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026: 310 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026: 290 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026: 255 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026: 233 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026: 215 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026: 205 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026: 297 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026: 365 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026: 341 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026: 293 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 286 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 246 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 379 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 449 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 538 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 485 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 416 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 357 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 296 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 242 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 237 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 215 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 208 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 197 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 267 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 293 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 274 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 273
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2026 to 2036: 55 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2026 to 2036: 74 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2026 to 2036: 24 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2026 to 2036: -11 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2026 to 2036: -18 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2026 to 2036: 8 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2026 to 2036: 25 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2026 to 2036: 6 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2026 to 2036: 3 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2026 to 2036: 0 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2026 to 2036: 7 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2026 to 2036: 28 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2026 to 2036: 26 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2026 to 2036: 4 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2026 to 2036: 5 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2026 to 2036: 9 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2026: 24 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2026: 89 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2026: 89 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2026: 89 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2026: -5 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2026: -20 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2026: -30 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2026: 14 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2026: 48 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2026: 18 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2026: 6 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2026: 9 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2026: 30 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2026: 72 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2026: 67 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2026: 20
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2036, prepared by .id the population experts, December 2017.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in Surf Beach - Batehaven - Sunshine Bay - Denhams Beach was ages 65 to 69, which accounted for 9.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages 70 to 74, which is expected to increase by 89 and account for 8.7% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2026 is 65 to 69 years, with a total of 547 persons.

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