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Cumberland City CouncilPopulation forecast

Merrylands - Holroyd

Population and age structure

Between 2021 and 2026, the age structure forecasts for Merrylands - Holroyd indicate a 22.0% increase in males under working age, a 18.9% increase in males of retirement age, and a 21.3% increase in males of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of Cumberland City Council is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - Service age groups
Merrylands - Holroyd - Total males202120262036Change between 2021 and 2036
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
Babies and pre-schoolers (0 to 4)1,4728.41,8318.61,9318.3+459
Primary schoolers (5 to 11)1,6469.41,9639.22,1999.4+553
Secondary schoolers (12 to 17)1,1646.61,4646.91,6216.9+457
Tertiary education and independence (18 to 24)1,82210.42,26710.62,41810.4+597
Young workforce (25 to 34)3,47119.74,31520.24,31818.5+847
Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49)3,71121.14,53621.34,98221.3+1,272
Older workers and pre-retirees (50 to 59)1,78210.11,9329.12,35810.1+576
Empty nesters and retirees (60 to 69)1,3377.61,5687.41,7007.3+363
Seniors (70 to 84)1,0365.91,2475.91,5426.6+506
Elderly aged (85 and over)1440.81890.92731.2+129
Total persons17,585100.021,313100.023,345100.0+5,760
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2021 to 2036, prepared by .id (informed decisions), March 2023.

Key findings

In 2021, the dominant age structure for males in Merrylands - Holroyd was ages Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49), which accounted for 21.1% of the total males.

The largest increase in males between 2021 and 2026 is forecast to be in ages Young workforce (25 to 34), which is expected to increase by 844 and account for 20.2% of the total males.

The largest male 5 year age group in 2026 is Parents and homebuilders (35 to 49) years, with a total of 4,536 males.

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