City of CanningPopulation forecast
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City of Canning

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for the City of Canning indicate a 17.3% increase in population under working age, a 36.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Canning is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Canning - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,4485.86,4915.87,3645.9+1,916
5 to 95,6046.06,4705.87,1345.7+1,530
10 to 145,4145.86,3465.76,8265.5+1,412
15 to 196,4656.97,8287.08,4886.8+2,023
20 to 248,9029.510,2859.211,4959.2+2,593
25 to 298,4739.110,2839.211,7519.4+3,278
30 to 347,5358.19,1198.210,4648.4+2,929
35 to 396,4096.88,1227.39,1197.3+2,710
40 to 446,0956.57,5396.78,2856.6+2,190
45 to 495,9666.46,9916.37,6386.1+1,672
50 to 545,5525.96,0695.46,8085.4+1,256
55 to 595,1935.55,3434.86,0604.8+867
60 to 644,7445.14,8164.35,3594.3+615
65 to 694,0994.44,3943.94,8173.9+718
70 to 742,8233.03,9163.54,2243.4+1,401
75 to 792,0462.23,2432.93,5552.8+1,509
80 to 841,3461.42,3742.12,8232.3+1,477
85 and over1,4791.62,1281.92,7432.2+1,264
Total persons93,595100.0111,756100.0124,955100.0+31,360

Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id , the population experts, November 2018.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2041: 2,743 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2041: 2,823 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2041: 3,555 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2041: 4,224 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2041: 4,817 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2041: 5,359 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2041: 6,060 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2041: 6,808 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2041: 7,638 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2041: 8,285 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2041: 9,119 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2041: 10,464 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2041: 11,751 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2041: 11,495 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2041: 8,488 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2041: 6,826 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2041: 7,134 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2041: 7,364 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031: 2,128 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031: 2,374 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031: 3,243 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031: 3,916 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031: 4,394 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031: 4,816 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031: 5,343 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031: 6,069 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031: 6,991 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031: 7,539 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031: 8,122 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031: 9,119 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031: 10,283 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031: 10,285 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031: 7,828 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031: 6,346 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031: 6,470 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031: 6,491 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016: 1,479 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016: 1,346 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016: 2,046 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016: 2,823 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016: 4,099 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016: 4,744 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016: 5,193 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016: 5,552 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016: 5,966 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016: 6,095 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016: 6,409 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016: 7,535 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016: 8,473 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016: 8,902 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016: 6,465 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016: 5,414 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016: 5,604 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016: 5,448
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups
Forecast change in age structure - 5 year age groups Forecast persons aged 85+,  2031 to 2041: 616 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2031 to 2041: 449 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2031 to 2041: 313 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2031 to 2041: 308 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2031 to 2041: 423 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2031 to 2041: 543 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2031 to 2041: 717 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2031 to 2041: 739 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2031 to 2041: 647 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2031 to 2041: 746 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2031 to 2041: 997 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2031 to 2041: 1,345 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2031 to 2041: 1,468 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2031 to 2041: 1,210 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2031 to 2041: 661 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2031 to 2041: 480 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2031 to 2041: 664 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2031 to 2041: 873 Forecast persons aged 85+,  2016 to 2031: 649 Forecast persons aged 80-84,  2016 to 2031: 1,028 Forecast persons aged 75-79,  2016 to 2031: 1,196 Forecast persons aged 70-74,  2016 to 2031: 1,093 Forecast persons aged 65-69,  2016 to 2031: 295 Forecast persons aged 60-64,  2016 to 2031: 72 Forecast persons aged 55-59,  2016 to 2031: 150 Forecast persons aged 50-54,  2016 to 2031: 517 Forecast persons aged 45-49,  2016 to 2031: 1,025 Forecast persons aged 40-44,  2016 to 2031: 1,444 Forecast persons aged 35-39,  2016 to 2031: 1,713 Forecast persons aged 30-34,  2016 to 2031: 1,584 Forecast persons aged 25-29,  2016 to 2031: 1,810 Forecast persons aged 20-24,  2016 to 2031: 1,383 Forecast persons aged 15-19,  2016 to 2031: 1,363 Forecast persons aged 10-14,  2016 to 2031: 932 Forecast persons aged 5-9,  2016 to 2031: 866 Forecast persons aged 0-4,  2016 to 2031: 1,043
Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id the population experts, November 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in the City of Canning was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 9.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 1,810 and account for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 10,285 persons.

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