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City of CanningPopulation forecast

City of Canning

Population and age structure

Between 2016 and 2031, the age structure forecasts for City of Canning indicate a 17.3% increase in population under working age, a 36.1% increase in population of retirement age, and a 16.9% increase in population of working age.

Knowledge of how the age structure of the population is changing is essential for planning age-based facilities and services, such as child care, recreation and aged care.

The forecast age groups of the City of Canning is a function of the current age of the population (people aging each year, being born and dying) as well as the age of people migrating into and out of the area. This in turn is driven by location (fringe, city centre, regional or rural) the existing housing stock (separate dwellings, medium or high density), the amount and type of new residential development (same as existing stock, or diversifying) and where the area is in a cycle of change. We call this the area’s residential role and function. You can learn more about this in the section household and suburb life cycles.

Forecast age structure - 5 year age groups
City of Canning - Total persons201620312041Change between 2016 and 2041
Age group (years)Number%Number%Number%Number
0 to 45,4485.86,4915.87,3645.9+1,916
5 to 95,6046.06,4705.87,1345.7+1,530
10 to 145,4145.86,3465.76,8265.5+1,412
15 to 196,4656.97,8287.08,4886.8+2,023
20 to 248,9029.510,2859.211,4959.2+2,593
25 to 298,4739.110,2839.211,7519.4+3,278
30 to 347,5358.19,1198.210,4648.4+2,929
35 to 396,4096.88,1227.39,1197.3+2,710
40 to 446,0956.57,5396.78,2856.6+2,190
45 to 495,9666.46,9916.37,6386.1+1,672
50 to 545,5525.96,0695.46,8085.4+1,256
55 to 595,1935.55,3434.86,0604.8+867
60 to 644,7445.14,8164.35,3594.3+615
65 to 694,0994.44,3943.94,8173.9+718
70 to 742,8233.03,9163.54,2243.4+1,401
75 to 792,0462.23,2432.93,5552.8+1,509
80 to 841,3461.42,3742.12,8232.3+1,477
85 and over1,4791.62,1281.92,7432.2+1,264
Total persons93,595100.0111,756100.0124,955100.0+31,360
Source: Population and household forecasts, 2016 to 2041, prepared by .id (informed decisions), November 2018.

Key findings

In 2016, the dominant age structure for persons in City of Canning was ages 20 to 24, which accounted for 9.5% of the total persons.

The largest increase in persons between 2016 and 2031 is forecast to be in ages 25 to 29, which is expected to increase by 1,810 and account for 9.2% of the total persons.

The largest 5 year age group in 2031 is 20 to 24 years, with a total of 10,285 persons.

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